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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
08.10.2008
McCain Jumps at Obama's Unforced Error

My friends, in a softball interview with Sean Hannity tonight, John McCain seized on one of Barack Obama's few tone-deaf moments at last night's debate. During a back-and-forth over pork barrel spending, Obama dismissed McCain's fixation with that topic by saying that "Sen. McCain has been talking tough about earmarks, and that's good, but earmarks account for about $18 billion of our budget."

Obama's point, I guess, was that in the general scheme of things, $18 billion isn't all that much. True enough. But I'm not sure that's how it sounds to the average American's ears. Hence it was surprising that Obama didn't follow up by stating that figure as a percentage of the overall budget--about .006% .6%, if my math is right*. Now that's a figure anyone can understand. 

So tonight on Fox McCain had a good chuckle at Obama for supposedly saying "it's only, quote, $18 billion" (actually that's not a quote--Obama never said "only"). He added that it's a figure which "anybody but an inside-the-Beltway pork-barreller would think is a lot of money."

It's a good line--one I expect we'll hear again--and one to which Obama clumsily exposed himself. If it comes up at next week's debate, Obama should have the percentage figure ready at hand.

* Of course my math wasn't right! It's still a small number. "Less than one percent" would be a good shorthand.

--Michael Crowley

Posted: Wednesday, October 08, 2008 10:11 PM with 23 comment(s)

Comments

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dnyedwab said:

Please tell me you are kidding. Mike.  Oh wait, having read you for years, I know that your are the leader of the "great news for Republicans" in every press corps event.

Does this change the race at all? Does it change the dialogue?  Have earmarks suddenly become the number one issue people care about?

Good lord.  let's use a sports analogy.  this is giving up a two out walk in the 8th inning of  a game your team is winning 7-0.  Would it be better if it hadn't happened?  yep.  Does it matter?  only if it sparks the 8 run rally.

October 8, 2008 10:51 PM

jjbman1121 said:

Obama didn't finish his thought. What I'm sure he meant is what he said in the first debate:

" But let's be clear: Earmarks account for $18 billion in last year's budget. Senator McCain is proposing -- and this is a fundamental difference between us -- $300 billion in tax cuts to some of the wealthiest corporations and individuals in the country, $300 billion.

Now, $18 billion is important; $300 billion is really important."

He may have opened the door to being attacked on this, but it is a small crack. The media won't really pick it up, because they understand what he meant and if McCain tries to bring it up at the next debate he will be stomped like when he tried to bring up the "talk softly" maxim at this one.

October 8, 2008 11:01 PM

JEFF FREY said:

I was also surprised that Obama didn't have the percentage handy, or at least the phrase less than 1%. Maybe he didn't recall at the moment. But of course in the real debate Obama compared that number to the cost of John McCain's tax cut ($300 billion), and pointed out that you can't balance the two figures. So it is only damaging if you take it totally out of context and add an extra word or two. Even then. less damaging than "Bomb bomb Iran" was last night.

Do you think Hannity called him on the mis-quote? Ha ha! Olberman is insufferably smug but even he doesn't hold a candle to Hannity or O'Reily.

October 8, 2008 11:01 PM

a_long said:

Um, I hope by now we've all studied this pie chart, and are ready for the pop quiz:

economistsview.typepad.com/.../image.html

October 8, 2008 11:25 PM

Mormon Socialist said:

I can't believe noone bit:

"$18 billion here, $18 billion there, and pretty soon it adds up to real money."

October 8, 2008 11:28 PM

jhildner said:

Hmm, he didn't really expose himself, because he didn't actually say "only."  He talked about how earmarks are bad, etc., but miss the bigger issue, just as in the first debate.  He could have driven the point home better, but I don't think it's tut-tut-worthy.

October 8, 2008 11:32 PM

simon greenwood said:

I'm pretty sure that should be .6%.  I know spending has gotten pretty bad under Bush but I don't think he managed to get it to 7x the world's GDP yet.

October 8, 2008 11:32 PM

Michael Crowley said:

Yes, he did continue into the contrast with the tax cuts: "Now, when Sen. McCain is proposing tax cuts that would give the average Fortune 500 CEO an additional $700,000 in tax cuts, that's not sharing a burden. And so part of the problem, I think, for a lot of people who are listening here tonight is they don't feel as if they are sharing the burden with other folks." But unlike in the first debate, he didn't pause to acknowledge that $18 billion is a significant figure. Which gave McCain his opening.

Sorry to offend your sensibilities, dnyedwab. I must have written about 5 negative things about McCain during that debate (because I think he did very poorly) and I tend to doubt I'll be invited to the next Sedona BBQ. But I'm not a propagandist, either, so when Obama makes mistakes, sometimes even small ones, I think they're worth writing about. There's hardly a shortage of other sites out there offering 100% pure feel-good Democratic news and spin, if that's what you want.

October 8, 2008 11:45 PM

Michael Crowley said:

whoops--yes, .6%.

.006 is the raw calculator result and i forgot to multiply by 100 for a percentage. this is why i went into words, not numbers.

October 8, 2008 11:48 PM

icarusr said:

Actually, it's good that McCain has jumped on this.  In the next debate, he'll get creamed, again, over the trivialities he is concentrating on.

October 8, 2008 11:50 PM

Michael Crowley said:

And, yes, he didn't say "only" but that doesn't seem to be deterring McCain.

October 8, 2008 11:51 PM

JEFF FREY said:

"I know spending has gotten pretty bad under Bush but I don't think he managed to get it to 7x the world's GDP yet"

Who knew that much leverage would come back to haunt us?

October 9, 2008 12:03 AM

Lyn39 said:

Fair enough, a blunder in terms of not putting that figure into proper context.  I noted it myself and was a bit disappointed that Obama didn't go on to explain that figure in the larger scheme of things.

But isn't McCain the one ("that one") who defined the middle class as anyone making under 5 million?  Perhaps that was just another example of McDick's lame-ass jokes that liberals such as myself simply "don't get."  I'd like to hear him put that into context.

October 9, 2008 12:05 AM

WoodyBombay said:

Luckily for Obama, the "blunder" (talk about lowering the bar for that word) wasn't picked up until Hannity, maybe the least serious person with a TV show in the nation, pounced on it. So as a talking point to actually use against Obama, it's got a built-in lack of credibility.

October 9, 2008 12:20 AM

ndmackenzie said:

Well, then, if $5m is the upper end of the middle class then total pork spending equals the annual income of only 3,000 people in the middle class. That is something like only 0.0003% of the middle class. Why should we care!?

October 9, 2008 12:24 AM

Rhubarbs said:

Not ".6 percent," or "less than 1 percent."

The operative phrase should be:

"Eliminating every earmark would be the equivalent of removing a single piece of pepperoni from a pizza. John calls that a diet."

October 9, 2008 7:21 AM

hellx said:

Sure $18 billion sounds like a lot to the average voter.  However, when the news has been dominated by discussions of an $81 billion bailout of AIG or a $700 billion plan for the credit markets, $18 billion doesn't sound like so much.

October 9, 2008 10:06 AM

blackton said:

Rhub, ha that is funny. Eliminating all earmarks is a bandaid on the bullet wound of his 300 billion dollar tax cuts and calling it treatment.

October 9, 2008 10:37 AM

desertdog said:

Let's not forget that we're spending $10 billion per month just to stay and prop up the government and economy of Iraq.  Think what that $10 B would do spent in the US to lower the deficit that caused the dollar devaluation that led to the mortgage crunch that resulted in the stock market meltdown?

Now that's a comparison people WILL understand.

October 9, 2008 10:42 AM

rossjem said:

I think the point Obama makes would be especially powerful relative to how much energy McCain has promised to spend on this.  He's going to "make them famous and you will know their names" over 1% of the federal budget, spending precious time and political capital that could otherwise be devoted to healthcare, energy, environment, etc. and piss off a lot of the people who will be critical to enacting his legislative agenda in the first place? Really? Or is this just erratic ol' John McCain shooting first and aiming later? etc.

October 9, 2008 1:14 PM

purcellneil said:

jjbman is right.  Anyone who saw the first debate knows what Obama meant.  

He probably shouldn't assume everyone remembered that earlier discussion of the $18 billion, but the people who aren't completely stupid (ie, voting for McCain) probably got it.

Neil

October 9, 2008 1:18 PM

mundye said:

I remember thinking the same thing during the debate.  Right after Obama said $18 billion and didn't offer any context, I said to a friend that he made a slight mistake there because the only thing the public watching at home would here was that number, that is and more importantly sounds large, even though it is less than 1% of the budget.  Probably nothing more than a small error on Obama's part, but a missed opportunity for sure.

I really like Rhubarb's formulation and suggest the Obama campaign use it when McCain inevitably tries to hit him in the next debate with a similar formulation to what he used on Hannity.

October 9, 2008 2:56 PM

cspencef said:

It does have the potential to be an effective rope-a-dope move for Obama next week.

October 9, 2008 5:47 PM