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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
04.09.2008
Obama's Next Move

At the moment, the GOP's week feels like an inversion of the Democrats' week in Denver. Sarah Palin's speech was a sensation on a level with Obama's triumph at Invesco. Just as the McCain campaign seemed at a loss for how to respond to Obama Thursday night, last night the Obama team lacked a killer comeback against  Palin (admittedly, responding to a winning speech is never easy).

McCain skilfully shifted the race's momentum the morning after Invesco with his surprise Palin announcement. Now, the question is whether the Obama team can continue the week-versus-week parallel and come up with a similar attention-getter. In the past, Obama's campaign has repeatedly demonstrated a marvelous sense of timing and an ability to rebound quickly after a setback. (As Jason Zengerle recently reported, for instance, Obama kept John Kerry's promised endorsement in his pocket and sprang it as a comeback after losing New Hampshire.)

I don't know what rabbit might be hiding in Obama's hat. But here's one fanciful thought: Colin Powell.

Imagine if Obama kicked off Friday with a Powell endorsement, shutting down the Palin hype and McCain speech bounce the same way as McCain smothered Obama's afterglow last weekend. After all, Bill Kristol recently predicted that Powell would actually appear at the Democratic convention. Clearly there's fear among Republicans that Powell will come out for Obama. And think about the impact a Powell endorsement would bring on the heels of a convention that is flogging McCain's military service, along with shots at Obama for never having worn a uniform.

Perhaps it's too much for Obamaphiles to hope for. Powell shot down the Kristol rumor and you get the sense the general is willing to stay neutral but not actively inflame the right.

Still, a Powell endorsement--be it Friday, or some other time later this fall--isn't unthinkable. And if delivered in the near future, it could deflate McCain's convention high in a single stroke.

--Michael Crowley

Posted: Thursday, September 04, 2008 11:58 AM with 7 comment(s)

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Wandreycer1 said:

I think you're overestimating Powell's wilingness to stand up to the facists in his party Michael, he's shown very little inclnation to do so.  I admire him too, but he's too easy to overestimate.

September 4, 2008 12:44 PM

scharch said:

Not that I think it's actually even a remote possibility, but what about Condi Rice? She's all but (implicitly, of course!) endorsed Obama already, and even had nice things to say about Biden when he got the nod...

September 4, 2008 12:59 PM

arsonplus said:

Wandreycer1

Never, ever, under any circumstances, underestimate the power of identity politics. Or the impulse to seek redemption.

Not saying Powell will, but he clearly wants to ... and he must know that he could stick the fork in McCain. ["once upon a time my friend John and I were both against torture"]

September 4, 2008 1:25 PM

prnoonan said:

I'm also hoping for a large August cash figure to be announced.  What's realistic?  $70m+?  You have to figure the convention and Biden picks brought in some serious dough.

September 4, 2008 2:24 PM

woland said:

Crowley, you haven't been paying attention.  Obama will be on the O'Reilly Factor tonight.  I'm sure he'll have some choice things to say.

September 4, 2008 4:54 PM

teplukhin2you said:

woland - indeed. This wasn't just choice but USDA Prime:

"“I think that the surge has succeeded in ways that nobody anticipated,” Obama said while refusing to retract his initial opposition to the surge. “I’ve already said it’s succeeded beyond our wildest dreams.”

September 4, 2008 6:57 PM

The Stump said:

Commenter vernezze has an intriguing if somewhat conspiratorial theory for why McCain won't mention

October 10, 2008 12:32 PM