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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
30.08.2008
A Shortened GOP Convention: Blessing In Disguise

The Page reports that the Republican convention might be "trimmed, altered or even suspended for a day or two" thanks to Hurricane Gustav, now rolling towards the Gulf Coast.

The first reaction will be that it's a hardship for Republicans to change their convention plans, but actually I think a diminished convention could be a very good outcome for the GOP. Scaled back to a two- or even one-day greatest-hits event, it wouldn't be as evident that the RNC had been scrounging for speakers and a lot of prominent Republicans never showed. And if, in the new compressed schedule, there just wasn't time for a Bush-Cheney night, would anybody shed a tear?

Update: Yup, Bush and Cheney won't be attending the convention. Pity, that! What a shame! But, you know, in any situation where looting is a possibility, Number Two armed with his 28-gauge is indispensable; we're sure you understand ...

--Eve Fairbanks

Posted: Saturday, August 30, 2008 6:15 PM with 17 comment(s)

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AlanSP said:

"And if, in the new compressed schedule, there just wasn't time for a Bush-Cheney night, would anybody shed a tear?"

Among Republican Convention-goers?  The only way they wouldn't be up in arms is if Bush spent the whole time dealing with the hurricane and its aftermath.  Then they could praise his heroism and willingness to put duty before party.

August 30, 2008 6:41 PM

virginiacentrist said:

I guess. IF they can keep Bush/Cheney from speaking, that's good.

But..........it's 4 nights of free media......one hour per night.....

August 30, 2008 7:01 PM

nbarry said:

Yes, I have to agree that on balance a shortened convention is better for the Republicans.  The more they keep their mouths shut while letting the Democratic far leftists make fools of themselves, the better they are likely to do in November.

August 30, 2008 7:56 PM

icarusr said:

It would be impossible to exclude Bush and Cheney; and if they are not excluded, that is all people will remember.  Too bad Gustav will wreck havoc; if it means a concentrated dose of Bush's shrugs, Cheney's bitter utterings, McCain's inanities and a stellar speech by Ms. Congeniality about her five children, three dogs and twelve mounted mooseheads, so much the better.

August 30, 2008 7:56 PM

lamh31 said:

As a former New Orleanian who had to evacuate from New Orleans during Katrina, who lost two family members to Katrina, and who has family who right now are evacuating, I could care less if John McCain or George Bush or Sarah Palin or the whole fraking RNC ceases to exist.  Have the damn thing or not, but GWB needs to make damn sure that FEMA and the government are la ittle quicker on the draw this time around.

If they do have it, I and my family would appreciate it if they do not do remote satelitte feed of the President in Louisiana.  I don't wanna see him fighting against the wind like some random reporter from CNN, to report about conditions on the ground at the convention.  It would be in bad form for the President to give a major public address about the conditions in New Orleans as some sort of "live on the scene" spot as some type of Republicn platform.  

Also, if they have to delay or cancel the convention, does that mean that McCain can forgoe the public financing deadline already set in place.

August 30, 2008 11:48 PM

aeromonas said:

What's up with a cat 4 hurricane targeting New Orleans AGAIN a mere three years later?  And in the middle of the GOP convention, no less.  Seems like God has a horse in this race, though whose side He's on is a little tough to divine.  Suppose the Crescent City gets trashed all over again, does it just serve to remind the nation of the Repubs gross incompetance and high-handed indifference or does it count as a mulligan, an opportunity for Bush & Co to redeem themselves?  

August 30, 2008 11:51 PM

RRB52 said:

"Scaled back to a two-or even one-day greatest hits event...."                                                                                                                                                          Are you serious?                                                                                                                                                                 WHAT GREATEST HITS?  Only those a masochist could appreciate?

August 31, 2008 12:10 AM

sullydog said:

Guys: you need to hold onto your hats.

Mark my words: this could be a disaster for Obama. I'm holding my breath for the next four days.

August 31, 2008 12:43 AM

aeromonas said:

"Mark my words: this could be a disaster for Obama."

I think that's overstating it, but, yes, in a number of ways Gustav could redound to McCain's advantage.

According to the NY Times, he and Palin are already booked to visit the Mississippi coast tomorrow to "survey preparations for the hurricane."

OTH, it could redound to Obama's advantage, and meteorologically speaking, I actually think that's more likely.

The most likely scenario is that Gustav hits the coast 70 miles west of New Orleans, the city sees winds of 73 knots and the levees hold.  I've lived through two Atlantic coast hurricanes with winds of approximately 75mph, it makes for a fun-filled evening, but really unless your house is on a barrier island it isn't that big a deal .  That way, the evacuation--organized by black, Democratic mayor Ray Nagin--looks effective, FEMA has little if anything to do, but the whole kerfuffle steps on the media coverage of the GOP convention if it doesn't actually cut the convention short.  And to top it off, it forces everyone to recall Katrina.

August 31, 2008 4:04 AM

sullydog said:

Your lips to God's aeromonas--nobody gets hurt, including our candidate.

August 31, 2008 10:25 AM

mrmonster said:

This is definitely not a blessing in disguise for the GOP. Can you imagine the symbolism of their convention having to stop because another hurricane is hitting New Orleans. Remind the nation of Katrina when they're trying to redefine themselves. MoveOn and the like will have a field day.

August 31, 2008 10:30 AM

AlanSP said:

"This is definitely not a blessing in disguise for the GOP. Can you imagine the symbolism of their convention having to stop because another hurricane is hitting New Orleans. Remind the nation of Katrina when they're trying to redefine themselves. MoveOn and the like will have a field day."

I have to disagree.  They have a chance to actually get it right this time.  For the sake of the people on the Gulf Coast, I hope they do.

August 31, 2008 11:14 AM

JEFF FREY said:

According to news reports. Bush and Cheney have canceled. THAT is the best possible news for McCain, although the Republicans do risk losing the free media coverage.

August 31, 2008 12:24 PM

nbarry said:

Free media coverage of Bush and Cheney reminding us why they are so disliked?  McCain needs that like he needs hemorrhoids.

August 31, 2008 2:39 PM

jacksondyer said:

nbarry said:  "Free media coverage of Bush and Cheney reminding us why they are so disliked?  McCain needs that like he needs hemorrhoids."

Exactly, he would have paid money to have them not covered.

The hurricane will actually help the Republicans because they can all stand around and look serious and very concerned.

It will also help Obama play the role of FEMA advisor.

All in all the hurricane is a wash as a political story.

August 31, 2008 5:42 PM

moran@sbc.edu said:

The hurricane is tremendously important for those impacted, yes, of course, but we seem to be forgetting that we have all these days of campaigning ahead of us until the Nov. election. So no matter what transpires over the next two or three days, it will finally pale politically in comparison to the events that are ahead. The media is focused on the immediate day-to-day. As long as we understand this, we can postpone our hysteria and prepare ourselves to make judgments, it is to be hoped, on policy issues. Call me hopelessly naive.  

September 1, 2008 12:06 PM

csmiller said:

"McCain needs that like he needs hemorrhoids."

At 72 years old, no doubt he already has them.

September 1, 2008 12:17 PM