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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
18.07.2008
Why Doesn't McCain Freak More Conservatives Out?

David Brooks has an interesting column today (feels like I say that a lot) about how we're entering an era of activist government thanks to our outsize needs in five broad areas: 1.) social policy (health care in particular), 2.) energy, 3.) human capital, 4.) financial markets, and 5.) infrastructure (especially the transportation system). I completely agree with this, and partly agree with his thesis that western countries tend to entrust their reform projects to conservative leaders, who won't go too far too fast.

I say "partly" because the public sometimes has no choice but to opt for the progressive party if it wants reform. Often the conservative party simply refuses to acknowledge the need for it. (The New Deal was a pretty serious reformist exercise, for example. And one enabled by GOP failures...) At historical moments like this one, there tend to be plenty of members of the conservative party who are doing just fine, and who fiercely resist changes to the status quo.

Which brings me to McCain. Given all the forces pushing toward reform, given McCain's own history of throwing his party overboard to work out deals, given his own TR-like reformist pretensions, given how he's always sought the affirmation of Washington elites, and given how any Republican president--even the ones conservatives start off genuinely excited about, like Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush--ends up having to make some deals with the devil, how is any conservative reform-skeptic not absolutely frantic at the prospect of a McCain presidency?*

Obviously the alternative (Obama) isn't much better from conservative's point of view. And I know there's still a lot of McCain-skepticism out there among conservatives. But a lot of it seems to have been repressed. I'd expect something more akin to stomach-churning panic at this point.

*These aren't necessarily bad qualities in a president from my perspective. I tend to agree with Jon Chait that they'd limit the downside of a McCain presidency.

Update: Ross Douthat directs me to the discussion Brooks's column has triggered over at The Corner. Suffice it to say, McCain may or may not be freaking conservatives out (though you lean a little more toward the affirmative after consulting those guys), but Brooks certainly is...

--Noam Scheiber

Posted: Friday, July 18, 2008 12:19 PM with 18 comment(s)

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teplukhin2you said:

"how is any conservative reform-skeptic not absolutely frantic at the prospect of a McCain presidency?"

Here's an answer borne of close observation of real American conservatives over many years: they aren't really all that conservative anymore. That is, their own behavior nullifies their rhetorical stands.

Look at Brooks' list of needed improvements:

On #1, health care, where are the conservative congresscritters who have junked their federally-provided health insurance in favor of purchasing plans on the private market? More broadly, how many Republican doctors do you know who still think our private system is working well, or worth preserving at all costs? 30 years ago, most docs were adamantly opposed, but today, I'd bet that most docs in this country, including "conservative" ones, support some form of UHC.

On energy, ex-CIA chief Jim Woolsey has been driving a Prius and telling everyone about it for years now. Krauthammer has for many years now penned an annual column urging a floor beneath gas prices and a $2/gallon tax.  Again, most "conservatives" recognize that federal intervention is absolutely critical if we're to stop shipping hundreds of billions to foreign gangster regimes that wish us ill.

On human capital, "conservative" financiers donate billions collectively to a higher education system that is saturated with federal intervention. "Conservative" VCs and other investors reap billions, collectively, from new companies whose technologies were incubated in federally-funded university research programs or labs.

On financial markets, "conservatives" aren't pro-market, they're pro-banker. Bailouts and artificially low interest rates, ie subsidies to the financial sector, are cool with them.

On infrastructure (especially the transportation system), please. There is no "conservative" opposition to federal highway largesse (including bridges to nowhere).

Maybe it's time for our political and pundit classes to get rid of these stupid labels and constructs. If you have to frame issues in terms of some kind of thesis-antithesis, I'd suggest the one between saving and consumption, maybe also between programs that disproportionately benefit adults without children and those which would, theoretically, shift our focus toward working families with school age children. Just a thought.

Anyway, it would be far more useful and enlightening than this bogus "conservative" or "libertarian" labeling.

July 18, 2008 12:39 PM

stgla said:

I sum it up in two word: judicial appointments.  Ok, two more words: vice president.  Johnny Mac dies in office, leaving us with some kind of horrific Cheney II and a conservative majority on the SCOTUS for the next 50 years.  What's not to like about that if you are a conservative?

July 18, 2008 12:44 PM

teplukhin2you said:

Oops, change "savings and investment" to "savings/investment vs consumption". (Need some coffee here).

An economy built 70% on hundreds of millions of consumers buying stuff they don't need with money they don't have isn't exactly "conservative", now, is it?

July 18, 2008 12:45 PM

miceelf said:

He's not Black.

July 18, 2008 12:59 PM

perkowitz said:

they may not be happy about it, but they sure know that they prefer him (and his judicial appointments) to any democrat. they're not dumb -- they'll vote for the lesser of two evils, just like most people. what do you expect them to do, start campaigning for bob barr?

July 18, 2008 1:16 PM

jemerk said:

Operative conservative (money folks) philosophy = I'm alright Jack, bend over and grab your bootstraps while I slip you something.

Actually the money guys like to use the word to bring out the "values" voters.

July 18, 2008 1:30 PM

ChanRobt said:

McCain is ultimately reassuring because he has none of the questionable associations and attitudes of an Obama.  His loyalty to the country and its values is never for a moment in doubt.  And, he doesn't have the Pelosi like voting record of Obama, either.

Given the choice, at this point McCain has the virtue of not being scary.  In this context, that is the equivalent to reassuring.

July 18, 2008 1:47 PM

fougasseu said:

tep: I agree the labels are stupid and I appreciate your analysis.

Based on my personal experience, you're too kind to these folks who self-identify as conservatives. I find most of their positions spring from a very personal perspective - a fear of immigrants, a fear of gays, a fear of blacks, a fear born out of an essential pessimism regarding the future. They may project a certain arrogance, that John Wayne bullshit (or in Kristol's case, that Buckley bullshit), but they're scared.

July 18, 2008 1:50 PM

GSpinks said:

I agree with the snark so far. I'd just like to add my own perspective: McCain has shown a willingness to bend his knee to the GOP Masters and serve at their leisure. This subservience to The Lords quells much angst among the electorate, who believe their candidate will uphold their agenda.

Perk: you do know Barr is pulling a significant (outcome altering) percentage of the Conservative vote in at least 3 states (including, i believe,  NV and ND)?

July 18, 2008 1:52 PM

prnoonan said:

Republicans are wired to fall in line.  It's just in their DNA.  All they care about is being in the club.  They experience no cognitive dissonance from rapidly changing policies they are expected to support: abolish Dept of Ed ... to NCLB; a "humble" foreign policy ... to regime change and nation building; small government ... to 2003 Medicare Act; states rights ... to federalization of marriage policies.  I could go on all day...

July 18, 2008 2:13 PM

icarusr said:

Mice: touché ;-).

Tep: dead on.  I find nothing truly conservative in the attitude, position or policies of self-described "conservatives".  Right-wing religious fundamentalists will like McCain because of the Supreme Court nomination to replace John Paul Stevens; war-mongers like McCain because he likes war; tax-cutters like McCain because he will go with the current Republican flow on economic issues (he is a self-confessed ignoramus, so do not expect anything else); slash and burn anti-environmentalists will like McCain because he has never shown any interest in preserving and conserving the natural bounty of the United States for future generations.  

"An economy built 70% on hundreds of millions of consumers buying stuff they don't need with money they don't have isn't exactly 'conservative', now, is it?"

Again, dead on.  A "conservative" English Law Lord once remarked, "A vast majority of my forty years on the Bench has been devoted to sorting out the problems of people who signed documents they had not read, to buy things they did not need, with money they had not got."  QED.

July 18, 2008 2:37 PM

The Plank said:

Noam has some smart insights that touch on the subjects raised by David Brooks in his New York Times

July 18, 2008 3:47 PM

raylward said:

I read Brooks' article early this morning and then read Chait's review of Naomi Klein's new book (in TNR).  Brooks says: "[P]eriods of great governmental change have often been periods of conservative rule. .... Two of the most prominent conservative reformers were Benjamin Disraeli and Theodore Roosevelt. Both reframed the political debate so that it was not change versus the status quo, it was unfamiliar change versus cautious, patriotic change designed to preserve the traditional virtues of the nation."  Klein says (quoting Milton Friedman): "Only a crisis--actual or perceived--produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around. That, I believe, is our basic function: to develop alternatives to existing policies, to keep them alive and available until the politically impossible becomes politically inevitable."  Aren't Brooks and Klein (Friedman) saying the same thing, only from a somewhat different perspective?  Klein believes that conservatives actually dictate the change they want by employing the "shock doctrine", whereas Brooks merely sees an opportunity: "If McCain is going to win this election, it will because he can communicate an essential truth — that people in a great and successful nation do not want change for its own sake. But they do realize that it’s only through careful reform that they can preserve what they and their ancestors have so laboriously built."

July 18, 2008 4:11 PM

tomeg said:

I agree with tep, at least for *thinking conservatives* (thinking liberals, too).'

I'm not sure that Republicans, at least the younger ones, even know what a socialist is anymore.

A gay socialist..a gay *muslim* socialist, now we're getting somewhere.

July 18, 2008 6:14 PM

icarusr said:

"a gay *muslim* socialist": cool, where?  I didn't know they came in that colour.

July 18, 2008 6:26 PM

lsernoff said:

It strikes me as ironic that the personal actions of Americans were most conservative during a period of maximum liberal ascendency (FDR) and most liberal (in the sense of feelings of entitlement) during a period of conservative ascendency (Reagan/ Bush with the triangulator in between).  Ike, where are you?  Come back for another eight years.  In your time we were still maintained some element of personal frugality in a time of prosperity; yet our sense of sobriety didn't stop us from experiencing a deep, though transient love, for sunny, pastel colors.  Most people thought themselves "moderate" and elected Republicans and Democrats who thought they were moderates too.

I know, I know!  All was by no means perfect in the 50's.  If that's your principal reaction, you're definitely a liberal.  If your principal reaction is to remember that time with  a smile, you're a conservative.

July 20, 2008 1:55 PM

The Stump said:

The memory of this, via today's well-done David Kirkpatrick piece in the Times , has to send acid

July 21, 2008 11:00 AM

teplukhin2you said:

1sernoff has a good point. The '50s had low unemployment, low inflation and decent growth. True, Japan was on its knees, China and India were basket cases and Europe was still recovering, but still, there's something to be said for high savings rates, less bread-and-circus consumption, an absence of serial asset bubbles manufactured by the Fed, and sober financial management in both the public and private realms.

July 21, 2008 6:49 PM