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07.07.2008
Nunn Watch

In case I'm not the only one who missed this July 3 Insider Advantage poll in Georgia, check it out:

(7/4/08) An InsiderAdvantage/ PollPosition survey conducted with our research partner Majority Opinion Research shows John McCain and Barack Obama locked in a tight race in Georgia, the ninth largest electoral prize in the nation.

The poll also indicates that should Obama choose former U.S. Sen. Sam Nunn of Georgia as his running mate, Obama’s chances improve of winning Georgia in November.

The poll was conducted statewide on Tuesday among 502 registered Georgia voters like to vote in November. It was weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.3 percent.

Q. 1 Georgia Presidential ballot:

McCain: 46%
Obama: 44%
Barr: 4%
Undecided: 6%

Q. 2 “If Barack Obama selected Georgia’s former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn as his Vice Presidential running mate, would you be more or less likely to vote for Barack Obama?”

More likely: 51%
Less likely: 11%
No difference/Undecided: 38% 

Tom Schaller is persuasively skeptical about Obama's chances at tipping Southern states into his column. But he doesn't reckon with the weird  and unique convergence of Barr plus Nunn, and that's the key here....

--Michael Crowley

Posted: Monday, July 07, 2008 3:46 PM with 14 comment(s)

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Rhubarbs said:

"Obama-Nunn." Really, have any of the Nunn bandwagoneers actually tried saying that out loud a few times? As a simple marketing matter, maybe the awfulness of that ticket name would be a price worth paying ... if we were talking about a guy who had actually won an election in Georgia more recently than 1990.

July 7, 2008 5:15 PM

The Plank said:

Oddly, despite his endless cheerleading for Sam Nunn as a potential Obama V.P. over at the Stump, Mike

July 7, 2008 5:23 PM

AlanSP said:

I'm a little surprised by those "more likely/less likely" numbers, if only because there's usually nowhere near that big a difference with those types of questions about potential running mates.  That said, it's worth keeping in mind that Insider Advantage is the only firm showing the race close right now.  Rasmussen and Strategic Vision both have McCain ahead by 8-10.  See Nate's post from a couple days ago blogs.tnr.com/.../color-me-skeptical-on-georgia-turning-blue.aspx

July 7, 2008 5:29 PM

blackton said:

rhub, obama webb is like something from a Spiderman comic book so I will take Obama Nunn anyday.

July 7, 2008 6:40 PM

cspencef said:

Obama-Nunn for the Obamacan!  Or something like that.

July 7, 2008 9:02 PM

Crock1701 said:

Rhubarbs, that reminds me of the reasoning behind the Republican's Veep choice for Alf Landon in 1936.  Supposedly, they were going to go with Styles Bridges.  However, it was then pointed out that that left open the jingle "Landon-Bridges, falling down!" for the opposition.  As such, Landon went with Chicago newspaperman (and future FDR Secretary of the Navy) Frank Knox, who now came with the slogan "Off the rocks with Landon and Knox!"  Of course, Landon and Knox, dynamic slogan in hand, went on to lose in what remains the largest electoral landslide in history.  

July 8, 2008 2:53 AM

Rhubarbs said:

Crock, the Republicans could have run Landon-Jesus in 1936 and the ticket would have lost to Roosevelt. Besides, Knox was the better choice for VP. Landon was pretty progressive; Bridges was nearly the Jesse Helms of his day -- though if I recall, Helms never blackmailed a fellow senator into suicide with the threat of gay outing -- while Knox was an old Teddy Roosevelt progressive.

Therefore, Obama-Henry. QED.

July 8, 2008 10:15 AM

Crock1701 said:

Yes, but if we nominate O-Henry, each half of the country will sacrifice to buy a gift for the other, only to make the gifts totally worthless with their sacrifice.  Sounds like divided government to me.

Also, will former Indian Affairs Committee Chairman attack their Ransom of Red Chief?

July 8, 2008 10:57 AM

toddmartin said:

I am an attorney in Savannah and was born and raised in Georgia.  Sam Nunn's name still carries weight here.  He has the foreign policy gravitas that Obama needs; he would appeal to Clinton's blue democrat supporters.  I do believe he could tip GA to the Dems.

July 8, 2008 1:37 PM

bigfish said:

Rhubarbs, good comment, except the last name of Jesus is "Christ."  It would have been "Landon-Christ."

Jesus, you'd think people would know that sort of thing....

July 8, 2008 2:33 PM

akjacobson said:

The term "Christ" isn't a name, but an adjective:  it means "The Anointed."  I think the last name would be "Josephson," that is son of Joseph.  :-)  

July 8, 2008 4:59 PM

ChanRobt said:

I'll tell you one thing, Sam Nunn may resent Obama, the presumptuous son of a bitch, having the temerity to plan a speech at the Brandenburg gate in a ridiculous attempt to assume the JFK and Reagan mantles.

This man has not earned the right to make such a speech in such a place.  And, from what I'm reading, the German government may see it that way to and not allow the literal grandstanding.

I was prepared to give Obama his due.  He is an intelligent man.  But, once again, his judgement is really way out of whack.

Caroline and Ted ought really to reconsider their endorsements of this pretender.

July 8, 2008 7:08 PM

ChanRobt said:

good man, akjacobson.  A man with an education raises his hand.

July 8, 2008 7:09 PM

Robert Powell said:

Jesus H. Christ!!

Splendid show of education all around. Landon-Bridges falling down is a wonderful anecdote, which raises the Obama/Bayh bumper-sticker issue. Could be construed as "Obama? Bye!"

Nevertheless as  a two-term red-state Senator and Governor who's served on the Armed Services and Select Intelligence Committees, is Chairman of the Subcommittee on International Trade and Finance,  and performs well on TV, Evan Bayh is my pick.

July 9, 2008 5:42 AM