TNR BLOGS

July 04, 2009 | 8:16 AM
July 03, 2009 | 7:55 PM
July 03, 2009 | 7:37 PM

March 09, 2009 | 5:19 PM
March 09, 2009 | 5:16 PM
January 07, 2009 | 12:20 PM

July 01, 2009 | 10:33 PM
June 30, 2009 | 8:42 AM
June 29, 2009 | 9:09 AM

July 26, 2008 | 2:24 PM
July 23, 2008 | 1:55 PM
July 17, 2008 | 3:56 PM

July 03, 2009 | 10:13 PM
July 02, 2009 | 12:57 PM
July 01, 2009 | 7:02 PM
COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
01.07.2008
Why Romney Doesn't Make Sense

Over on the Plank, Jon Cohn tried to make the case for Mitt Romney as John McCain's vice president. Eve Fairbanks thinks it's a terrible idea:

My brilliant colleague Jon Cohn is almost always dead on target, but I think Mitt Romney's shameless Michigan pandering has gone to his head. I know Romney's the flavor of the week on McCain's veep list, but I couldn't disagree more with Jon that he'd be a good choice for McCain.

Jon plugs Romney's "expertise on economic policy," but he isn't an economist, he's a businessman - and a smooth-talking corporate honcho straight out of central casting, at that. As mega-finance firms like the Blackstone Group and Countrywide come to be seen as villains in our economic slump, I think Romney's CEO manner and private equity background (the private equity firms, remember, were the ones who were splashily accused last summer of exploiting a tax loophole) could be received by your average voter with as much suspicion as warmth. Is this fair? Not really -- Romney got out of the private equity biz a while ago. But is it the reality? Quite possibly. I can see sub-rosa populist, anti-CEO attacks working against Romney in the candidates' bid for the working class.

And even if his business background doesn't work against him, there's not a lot of evidence (besides in Michigan, dad George Romney's former stomping grounds) that people ever really bought in to Romney's so-called genius on economic matters. In Missouri, for example, which voted on Super Tuesday, a whopping 44% of voters identified the economy as the most important issue affecting their vote -- but these economy voters narrowly chose McCain.

Jon also likes that Romney's "squeaky-clean." Well, by the dead-girl-or-live-boy rubric, sure, I suppose, although I think Jon too airily dismisses the exquisitely weird strapping-the-dog-to-the-roof episode. (After all, if Mitt Romney can't figure out how to get all the live cargo packed into his car when going on vacation, how can he be trusted to run the country?) But Romney's less than squeaky clean in another way: During the primaries, he proved himself perhaps the most deliciously mockable mainstream Republican candidate this side of Lamar Alexander. And as he marched along from primary loss to primary loss, he accumulated a rich trail of ridicule behind him, much of it from right-wingers, and which could just be rehashed verbatim in a general election by gleeful Democrats. If you're Barack Obama, why produce your own attack against Mitt Romney when you can just reprint "Romney vs. Romney," a withering indictment by the Weekly Standard?

Romney has little in common with McCain. Theirs would be a marriage for money and for convenience, not for love. But the trait he does share with Mac isn't a good one: flip-flopping. That McCain, far from being a straight-talker, is actually a flip-flopper, an opportunist, and a panderer to the right is a meme Democrats are fiercely trying to push, and the selection of "Flip" Romney as a running mate would very much enhance their ability to do so. A good veep pick ought to send a symbolic message -- but not, hopefully, the message that you have, finally, fully welcomed pandering into your life. 

If nothing else, suggests Jon, Romney at least is good on the attack. But the willingness to do or say anything in order to prevail isn't necessarily synonymous with being "good" on the attack, just as a piece of heavy artillery that spastically burps out cannonballs in every direction wouldn't be the best weapon to bring to a knife fight. If he were so good at attacking, why did his attacks only seem to help McCain during the primaries? Maybe it's because the overeager Romney just doesn't know when to stop. Consider the memorable and much-ridiculed volley Romney lobbed against Hillary and Obama on "Hannity & Colmes" shortly after dropping out of his primary race: 

When it comes to national security, John McCain is the big dog, and they are the Chihuahuas.

Arf! From my mischief-making perspective, Romney can't get on the big dog's ticket soon enough.  

--Eve Fairbanks

Posted: Tuesday, July 01, 2008 5:31 PM with 14 comment(s)

Comments

You must be logged-in to comment.

Not a subscriber? Click here to get a digital or print and digital subscription to The New Republic!

williamyard said:

From the Deseret News link: "Jowers said with McCain's popularity and the number of members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in California, the biggest prize of electoral college votes could go Republican." Jowers, as in Kirk Jowers, director of the University of Utah's Hinckley Institute of Politics. A guy who heads a political center at a university says a McCain/Romney ticket can carry California.

Let me repeat the last part of that last sentence: a McCain/Romney ticket can carry California.

Kids, if you're reading this: you were right all along. School IS stupid. In fact, it's more than stupid--it's dangerously moronic. Drop out today, this minute, right now. Run away, run far away now, as far from any school as your legs can carry you. Any school, every school: elementary school, middle school, high school, college--community, four-year, whatever. And especially grad school. Turn around, and never ever go back. Promise me!

Your mind is a terrible thing to waste.

July 1, 2008 7:01 PM

JosephCuomo said:

williamyard-

You may have noticed that Kirk Jowers (whom you quote) directs an institute at a university in Utah. Which means that Jowers' unreal sense that a McCain/Romney ticket could carry California is perhaps more of a reflection of that particular state's Mormon worldview, than it is a reflection of universities (and schools) in general.

July 1, 2008 8:51 PM

JosephCuomo said:

Eve-

I agree. As I said on a previous thread, there's no way McCain can pick Romney for his VP, unless the Republican nominee is ready to write off a huge chunk of the GOP base.

As it is, evangelicals and social conservatives don't trust John McC, don't see him as one of their own. And they have similar reservations about Romney.

So if McCain were to tap Romney as his VP, it would likely mean that the base wouldn't work for the ticket en masse, wouldn't contribute, wouldn't fire up their considerable alternative Christian media networks on his behalf--many of them might not even vote for him, might vote for Obama instead.

As it stands now, there are four clear chances that McCain has to win back the GOP base:

1. if he were to pick an evangelical VP, like Huckabee or Brownback.

2. if Obama were to pick HRC as his VP (which would light a fire under the collective ass of the millions upon millions of Hillary-haters within the Republican base).

3. if BHO were to make some horrendous gaffe, one, for instance, which betrays an apparent disgust (on Obama's part) for Christ or Christians or conventional conservative mores.

4. if BHO were to be effectively swift-boated, so that, for instance, it appears that he is indeed (at least in the minds of GOP voters) a secret Muslim.

July 1, 2008 8:53 PM

cspencef said:

Yeah, JosephCuomo, I've been waiting for Brownback to burble up near the top of McCain's list.  Huckabee may have the first shot at the secure-the-evangelical-base veep bid, but Brownback would be an inoffensive second choice, and maybe even less susceptible to some of the lines of attack that might be available against Pastor Mike.

July 1, 2008 9:00 PM

JosephCuomo said:

One more thing, Eve-

It appears that Obama is now launching a strategy to exploit the significant wedge between McCain and the evangelical/social conservative wing of the GOP base.

This (below) is from the NY Times website, as of about 8:00pm today (Monday, July 1):

________________________________________________________________________________

ZANESVILLE, Ohio — With an eye toward courting evangelical voters, Senator Barack Obama arrived here on Tuesday to present a plan to expand on President Bush's program of investing federal money in religious-based initiatives that are intended to fight poverty and perform community aid work. . . .

On the second day of a weeklong tour intended to highlight his values, Mr. Obama traveled to the battleground state of Ohio on Tuesday to present his proposal to get religious charities more involved in government programs. . . .

The plan was met with praise from officials who crafted the Bush administration's proposal, including John DiIulio, who in 2001 served as the director of Mr. Bush's office on faith based initiatives.

"Senator Barack Obama has offered a principled, prudent, and problem-solving vision for the future of community-serving partnerships involving religious nonprofit organizations," Mr. DiIulio said in a statement. "He has focused admirably on those groups that supply vital social services to people and communities in need. . . ."

Mr. Obama and his advisers are seeking support among relatively moderate evangelicals and are trying to take advantage of signs that some conservative Christians are rethinking their politics. . .

______________________________________________________________________________

That last line quoted from the Times is worth repeating: "Mr. Obama and his advisers are seeking support among relatively moderate evangelicals and are trying to take advantage of signs that some conservative Christians are rethinking their politics. . ."

July 1, 2008 9:04 PM

JosephCuomo said:

cspencef-

I agree: Brownback may be, as you suggest, an inoffensive choice for VP. And in a way that Huckabee is not. My understanding is that a number of the bigwig evangelicals are not all that thrilled with Mike H, not because they don't see him as one of their own, but because he did an end-run around them, without them, going directly to the voters instead.

Which is to say, Huckabee as McCain's VP would certainly go a long way to winning over the religious footsoldiers in the GOP base. But Brownback (or some other true believer) might also deliver the evangelical leadership as well.

July 1, 2008 9:25 PM

jawright1965 said:

The 'evangelical base' whatever that means, is actually quite fragmented.  No more than half where ever behind Huckabee, and the remaining half were dead set against him.  No one man can bring the entire base together because they come from diverse backgrounds.  That's why so many of them did vote for Mitt in the primaries.  Trying to make the ticket all about the fractured evangelical base is a recipe for losing.  Better to go for the middle while grabbing the evangelical piece open to thought and reason.

July 1, 2008 11:29 PM

WoodyBombay said:

Huckabee probably took himself out of the running with his "no scurrilous attacks against Obama" stance.

(Although since literally everyone else around him will be doing the attacking, maybe it'll be a situation where everybody *except* the veep is the attack dog. Ford-Dole in reverse, if you will.)

July 1, 2008 11:44 PM

williamyard said:

JoeC,

I know all schools aren't like the one where the guy I quoted works. I'm just trying to give all those kids out there a little reinforcement. School sucks. Like the Toys ask, in "Smoke Two Joints," "Would you rather smoke two joints, or would you rather do your homework?"

I mean, take a fifth grader whose parents plan to send her to college: she's got another 11 years at least before parole. That can wear on a kid's mind, big time.

July 2, 2008 12:39 AM

JosephCuomo said:

jawright1965-

You write: "No one man can bring the entire base together because they come from diverse backgrounds."

But certainly in the past one man did bring together enough of the base that it mattered in the general: George W. Bush. And before him: Ronald W. Reagan.

Yes, these two were at the top of their respective tickets, but even George H. W. Bush recognized that he needed to appease a GOP base that didn't trust him, didn't see him as one of their own. Which is why he chose Dan Quayle as his VP. And, well, it worked, or worked well enough to get George senior elected the first time out.

John McCain is now in a position similar to that of Papa Bush. He doesn't have enough of the base behind him, and he needs to increase the percentage of the base that gets on board, works for him, contributes to him, votes for him (and doesn't vote for Obama)--and one way to move a huge chunk of the base in his direction is to select a true believer VP.

July 2, 2008 10:08 AM

JosephCuomo said:

williamyard-

Yes, school can suck, especially in the lower grades and h.s.

But it saved my ass, williamyard. When I was 15, I was already a regular in a bar. I was a drunk, and worse. My friends were drunks and junkies and acid heads. Most of them dropped out when they reached the legal age (16 at the time).

But about a dozen of them never made it to 21. Hot shots, ODs, barbiturates behind the wheel. . .

When I was a kid, the world outside of school made no sense to me. But in class, I knew where I was. And once I hit college, I loved where I was. Sure, there were jerk teachers in college, but I dropped their classes (or fought with them), found a few terrific teachers, and took them over and over again.

As for your hypothetical fifth grader whose parents plan to send her to college, all you can do, I guess, is this: when she has a jerk teacher, acknowledge it. Let her know that boring classes are inevitable--boredom itself is inevitable, in school, at work, at home, on vacation--but there are ways to survive this. Let her know that when she finds a great teacher, a teacher whom she can trust, a teacher who brings a subject to life, throw yourself into that class, connect with that teacher, read whatever interests you, and read some more. And when school sucks--and, yes, some days it will suck--make fun of it, laugh, blow it off.

July 2, 2008 11:01 AM

henderstock said:

Romney reminds me of one of those slick big-biz types with matinee-idol looks who shows up on Law and Order.  He usually has his wife or mistress killed and blames it on one of his kids.

July 2, 2008 3:39 PM

cspencef said:

Love it, henderstock.

Meanwhile, will someone get a Democratic veepstakes post up soon so I can vent my building "what the hell??!!" over seeing a USNews item suggesting the GOP is bracing for Dick Gephardt as Obama's running mate?  Please and thank you.

July 2, 2008 4:38 PM

desertdog said:

williamyard and joecuomo....

As a non-Mormon resident of the state where Jower's university is located, I can guarantee you that he's only reflecting Jower's worldview.  The IInstitute and the University are both fine, respectable institutions of higher learning.  I think they just happen to have made a mistake in hiring a ding-dong who would say something so preposterous.  

The former director of the Hinckley Institute was the very progressive former Democratic mayor of SLC, Ted Wilson.  He was very popular, environmentally-conscious before anyone knew what that was, and did many very innovative and progressive things for the city and the state.  The University of Utah has always been known as an oasis of reason and integrity for free-thinkers and progressives among a red sea of right-wing lunacy.  It also serves as a counter-balance to the Stepford school to the south, BYU.  I can assure you, there are ever-increasing numbers of us "blues" here in Red state.  W has done alot to make that happen.

I can't understand how Jowers got the job.

July 3, 2008 12:54 PM