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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
01.04.2008
McCain and Iraq


The charge that he wants a 100-year war there is false. But Joe Klein gets him pretty good on some related points:

The problem with John McCain's 100 years in Iraq formulation isn't that he's calling for 95 more years of combat--he isn't--but that he thinks you can have a long-term basing arrangement in Iraq similar to those we have in Germany or Korea. That betrays a fairly acute lack of knowledge about both Iraq and Islam. It may well be possible to station U.S. troops in small, peripheral kingdoms like Dubai or Kuwait, but Iraq is--and has always been--volatile, tenuous, centrally-located and nearly as sensitive to the presence of infidels as Saudi Arabia. It is a terrible candidate for a long-term basing agreement.

Furthermore, McCain's frequent "You don't know anything" tirades about national security might be more effective if he had a better sense of the war in question. When I asked him about Basra in January, he assured me that it was "not a problem." Last week, he seemed to think it was a good idea for the militia that calls itself the Iraqi Army to attack the militia that calls itself the Mahdi Army. So did George W. Bush, who posited it as the good guys fighting the "terrorists." This betrayed a fundamental lack of knowledge about Shi'ite politics, something any good President or presidential contender--especially one who styles himself a "national security" expert--needs to study. McCain surely knows more about the military than Barack Obama does--and Obama certainly needs to learn more--but McCain's carelessness and oversimplification, and wrong analysis, when it comes to the situation in Iraq puts him in a surprisingly vulnerable position.

It would be a daring act of jujitsu for Democrats to brand McCain as ignorant about Iraq policy. But some also initially thought it goofy to attack John Kerry's Vietnam service....

--Michael Crowley 

Posted: Tuesday, April 01, 2008 5:08 PM with 10 comment(s)

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ironyroad said:

No it wouldn't be a daring act of jujitsu, it would be a legitmate attack based on the evidence.  McCain has embraced the war as the one issue that can bond him to the Republican base, but the war is a sharp-edged and unprediictable phenomeon and he needs to show that he understands what's going on.

There is a deep hunger in the country for a president who has a clue.  If McCain looks like he hasn't one, and especially as regards the one issue for which a clue is radically needed, he will go down the tubes.

April 1, 2008 5:48 PM

bsdespain said:

Running at someone's percieved strength is a great way to win elections. Take him down a peg on his strength and everything else follows.

April 1, 2008 6:03 PM

drdannyu said:

If the shoe fits...

April 1, 2008 6:04 PM

jacksondyer said:

Another nasty post attacking McCain:

"The charge that he wants a 100-year war there is false. But Joe Klein gets him pretty good on some related points"

Don't you guys ever get bored playing the game, "let's get McCain?"

April 1, 2008 6:09 PM

bcbaird said:

Well, a century's worth of combat or not, McCain certainly shown a certain disregard for the... context of the situation in Iraq.  This is the man who visited one market in Baghdad and declared it safe... yet couldn't remove his body armor or go there without a large escort.  He has not (to my knowledge) outlined conditions for withdrawal and does not see the situation in Iraq as dire.

In any case, it doesn't matter.  Come time for the general election, special interests groups (MoveOn, perhaps?) will broadcast clips from that speech over and over again.  No matter what he meant, the American public will interpret it as an unending military commitment to a failing state.  They might even do some slow-motion shots to make him seem creepy.

April 1, 2008 6:23 PM

bsdespain said:

Jackson How exactly is it "nasty"? Did it imply that due to his POW experience, he was mentally unstable?  (One of the charges circulated in the Republican primary in 2000) Nope. Just pointed the obvious that you cannot compare Germany & Japan with Iraq. Completely different countries and completely different historical circumstances. Furthermore it points out if foreign policy is his "strength" he is woefully ignorant of the realities on the ground and the nature of Iraq. And that's "getting McCain"? Cry me a river.

April 1, 2008 6:29 PM

tomeg said:

I expect that by the fall campaign, or the point where likely voters really start paying attention to the race and the candidates, McCain and his advisors will have smoothed out his Iraq message and he will be up to speed on the facts. As to swiftboating McCain on Iraq, forget it. The public just won't buy that he's incompetent to correctly judge and handle the issues.

Besides, Democrats just can't get nasty enough long enough to swiftboat. We don't look serious when we try.

April 1, 2008 8:01 PM

blackton said:

Iraq is fair game for both parties. I think McCain owes the American people a reasonable expectation of what the end game is there and how we will go about getting there. As of now, the Iraqi military is totally dependent on the US, they don't even possess any jets, only propeller driven planes, in their air force. Nor do they possess any heavy weaponry, for fear it will be used against us. What will McCain do about this?

April 1, 2008 9:27 PM

Annabella2 said:

Oner president got us into Iraq because he didn't have a clue about the reality of the country.  Looks like McCain would keep bases there indefinitely because he doesn't have a clue about the reality of the country either... poor US of A... what a way to go into the dustbin of history if we continue on this trajectory along with all of our brewing economic problems, which McCain has admitted he doesn't understand.

Hey... I want to be able to vote for this man, maybe.  He is making it awfully hard.

April 1, 2008 11:37 PM

teplukhin2you said:

Actually, our side could indeed launch a devastating financial-based attack on McC's Iraq position IF we had real credibility as fiscal conservatives.

Unfortunately, Obama has next to no cred in that department, and McCain's accumulated plenty over the years. A missed opportunity. Pity.

April 2, 2008 1:28 PM