TNR BLOGS

December 01, 2008 | 5:30 PM
December 01, 2008 | 4:40 PM
December 01, 2008 | 2:02 PM

December 01, 2008 | 11:22 AM
December 01, 2008 | 11:10 AM
December 01, 2008 | 9:57 AM

July 26, 2008 | 2:24 PM
July 23, 2008 | 1:55 PM
July 17, 2008 | 3:56 PM

December 01, 2008 | 4:08 PM
December 01, 2008 | 1:36 PM
December 01, 2008 | 12:00 PM
COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
09.12.2007
Why is the Obama Campaign Attacking Paul Krugman?

I'm a little confused by the attack on Paul Krugman over at the Obama campaign's "Fact Check" page, which Mike linked to yesterday. Beyond the dubious tactical benefit of attacking a columnist who has a lot of credibility with Democratic voters, and who has probably the biggest platform in print journalism, I'm not quite sure I understand the basis for the attack. The headline on the page is, "Krugman Didn't Always Think So Poorly Of Obama's Plan,'' and the rest of the piece provides  evidence for that point. But so what? It's the kind of attack that might work against a political opponent, because you can say they're changing their position out of political expedience, or because they're suddenly falling in the polls. But a columnist isn't running for anything. He has every right to change his mind.

In any case, Krugman hasn't changed his mind. As far as I can tell from re-reading the columns, his initial reaction to Obama's health care plan was that it was respectable but flawed--flawed because it didn't mandate that people buy insurance. His more recent take? That Obama's plan is respectable but flawed because it doesn't include an individual mandate. Now, it's true that Krugman's tone has gotten harsher of late, and that he's spent a lot more time emphasizing the plan's drawbacks than its merits. But there's a perfectly good reason for that, which Krugman repeatedly explains: Obama has begun touting the lack of an individual mandate as an advantage of his plan, and attacking his rivals for proposing one, which Krugman thinks is either dishonest or misinformed.

To wit, from his November 30 column: "But now Mr. Obama, who just two weeks ago was telling audiences that his plan was essentially identical to the Edwards and Clinton plans, is attacking his rivals and claiming that his plan is superior. It isn’t--and his attacks amount to cheap shots." Or take this from Friday's column: "But lately Mr. Obama has been stressing his differences with his rivals by attacking their plans from the right--which means that he has been giving credence to false talking points that will be used against any Democratic health care plan a couple of years from now."

If you're someone like Krugman, who believes the status quo is a disaster but also that an individual mandate is a critical feature of any health-care plan, it makes perfect sense that you'd have been initially sympathetic to the Obama plan (it's a significant improvement over the status quo, as Krugman notes), and that you'd have gotten frustrated when Obama started criticizing the one feature you thought he really needed to add. From Krugman's perspective, it's Obama who turned on him, not vice versa.

P.S. Here's Krugman himself on this controversy, making essentially the same point. And Ezra Klein, whom Krugman cites in his own response.

--Noam Scheiber

Posted: Sunday, December 09, 2007 12:47 PM with 6 comment(s)

Comments

You must be logged-in to comment.

Not a subscriber? Click here to get a digital or print and digital subscription to The New Republic!

turnipauto said:

Obama's "inexperience" may yet prove to have been something to be concerned about, after all....

December 9, 2007 2:03 PM

psantillana said:

They need to kiss and make up, as Obama did with Jesse Jackson and Cornell West. Just respectfully disagree or something.

December 9, 2007 2:15 PM

vanwurs said:

oops! hit the wrong key...to continue,

....but don't adequately socialize the risk pool, you make it very difficult to either control costs and offer the insurers the likelhood of making a profit, because the system will be full of expensive and  sick old people without being balanced by healthy and cheap young people.  Fair enough, that's the conventional wisdom, has been for some time, and I was as disappointed as anybody that Obama took a pass on adult mandates.  At the time, Hillary was safely ahead, saw no clouds on the horizon and the disagreements over this approach was lightly debated in a little bit of back of forth, with Hillary suggesting (but not pressing the issue) that a plan without mandates wasn't really "universal" and Obama countering that the logistical and politcal drawbacks of leading with mandates made it dubious policy and, anyway, if we don't get enough healthy people in, we can always go back and fix it later.  He was really, and still is at it's core, presenting a political argument on the assumption that if you don't get the politics right, the whole attempt fails (ala' HillaryCare) and the wonderfull and perfect policy is moot.  It is an argument that acknowledges and anticipates potential Republican opposition, also anticipating that we not have 60 vote margin in the Senate for anything we propose and reading the history of Health Care reform and looking for landmines.   That does not make him a Republican shill.

To make a long story short, in recent weeks, since Hillary feels threatened, she has hauled mandates out as a litmus test (along with Social Security, which good Democrats are not supposed to ever talk about because Republican once talked about it and merely mentioning it gives aid and comfort to the enemy.) of conviction, authenticity, and commitment to change.  Obama is resisting this definition, and rightlty so, wherever the it comes from.

And most recently it has come, with a new vehemence and hostile and unnuanced "tone", on both Social Security and Mandates, from Paul Krugman.  I don't know why. but it exactly coincides and echoes and supports Hillary's identical attacks.  We know why Hillary is doing, and it doesn't matter why Krugman is doing it, the fact that he is (one month before the Iowas caucuses) with all the prestige and credibility he brings in the world of Democratic and Liberal folks, means that it serves Hillary's purposes and needs to be countered.  Obama's campaign is doiing this.  That's their job.

The did not comment on the articles written by Krugman, they simply linked to a comment by the writers of First Read, cited a few (selective, sure...) quotes from Krugman "then" and Krugman "now" and included links to the original articles so that fair minded and interested people (and anybody who bothers to go to the website will likely click that link and go the articles, it ain't a hard thing to do...) can go to the originals, read them, and draw their own conclusions.  

I don't think Obama really started this fight, but I sure don't think he needs to lay down and take it if anybody (and that may well enclude the revered Paul Krugman, who has his own reasons for whatever it is he does...) brings it to him.  The politics of "Hope" did not include a pledge to unilaterallly disarm in any political contest.

December 9, 2007 4:11 PM

vanwurs said:

Bad day...there was a first half to that that got lost in ther ether........................... basically it said that back when Obama first introduced his plan it was critcised for not having mandates on the assumption that if you require by law insurers to cover all comers regardless of pre-exisitng conditions, but don't adequately socialize the risk pool.....etc, etc.

December 9, 2007 4:17 PM

blackton said:

vanwurs, He was really, and still is at it's core, presenting a political argument on the assumption that if you don't get the politics right, the whole attempt fails (ala' HillaryCare) is dead on. Perhaps Krugman can write a book on just why it is so better to be right all the time, and still lose every election since he is such an expert on it. Hey Krugman, it isn't the policy as much as the polity. Win at politics first, then change policy.

December 10, 2007 11:50 AM

vanwurs said:

one more point.....

One of the unfortunate consequenses of Hillary raising what should be a procederal issue (mandates) into a defining question of existential "Democraticness", is that Barack has been moved from a positon of accepting no mandates as a tactical necessity to embracing no mandates as a strategic virtue.....just to be a standup guy about his own plan and avoid being defined by Hillary as inadequately dedicated to real Health Care reform.  This change in Obama's rhetoric is the (ostensible) reason that Krugman is pissed, it would seem ("He's echoing Republican talking points"), and could in the future present some problems for him if, as President, he wants to rethink no mandates.  But Krugman is doing the same shit and expressing the same shock and outrage (equally recent, and inconsistent with past remarks) on Social Security.  It just looks like, wittingly or not, he is serving Hillary's purposes, and contributing to the adversarial dynamic on what should be an issue of procedure that we can litigate when a Health Care bill comes up sometime in 2009.

December 10, 2007 1:37 PM