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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
03.12.2007
The Problem with the Coming Attacks on Huckabee

Both the New York Times and Washington Post have stories out today foreshadowing the coming attacks on Mike Huckabee. Clearly, one prominent line of attack will be that Huckabee is basically a pro-life liberal--liberal on taxes, immigration, government-spending, etc. (Mitt Romney greenlighted this claim at last Wednesday's debate.)

It may be an effective critique, but there's at least one big problem with it: Republicans have spent much of the last generation arguing that social issues in general, and abortion in particular, are pretty close to a litmus test for whether or not you're a conservative. (Try to tell a loyal Republican that there are pro-life, religious Democrats, and he or she will tell you those Democrats are a fraud.)  

Given that we've all been conditioned to assume the opposite, it's going to be tricky to argue that a gun-shooting former preacher who opposes abortion and gay marriage is a liberal, however much truth there might be in that statement.  

--Noam Scheiber

Posted: Monday, December 03, 2007 8:47 AM with 9 comment(s)

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yukon said:

Maybe they could attack Huckabee's character instead?  I mean, if Hillary can attack Obama's character why can't Giuliani attack Huckabee on the issue of character?

December 3, 2007 10:03 AM

virginiacentrist said:

Another problem is that voters are much more inclined to accept tax increases/restructuring/whatever at the state and local level than they are at the federal level (see the popularity of Mark Warner for an example of this in action).  If Huckabee faces attacks at a debate, he can always cry federalism, say the money went directly to local education, and then expound upon his (newly formed) theory of federal government revenue starvation (or whatever).

December 3, 2007 10:05 AM

blackton said:

vacentrist, maybe, but I don't think so. I think Huckabee is sincere, and so far he hasn't been running away from his beliefs but instead they are a large reason why he is surging. It makes him a very dangerous opponent for the Democrats because he can pull in the old Reagan Democrat. If the Republican electorate realize that then we could be in trouble. When Rudy's personal foibles begin to sink in (serial adultery, etc.) I think Republicans will desert him.

Bush ran as a compassionate conservative, why would it be so hard for Huckabee to do so? At least I am happy that these attacks are based on his philosophy of government.

December 3, 2007 10:30 AM

virginiacentrist said:

No I'm talking about the GOP primary and suggesting that Huckabee can defend himself by talking about federalism or something...

I think Huckabee would be an OK GE candidate because of his "likability". It's just harder for attacks to stick against likable candidates. Then again, he'd have a hard time raising money from the anti-tax wing of the GOP...the folks that fund GOP campaigns...

December 3, 2007 11:01 AM

blackton said:

vacentrist, how big do you think the Club for growth crowd is? I have to imagine that while it might have money it doesn't have voters. Pat Toomey from Pa. (my own district) tried to go up against Specter in the Senate and got clocked, Their message might play with the Northeast Republican suburban crowd, which is what my house district is full of, but I just can't see that message being all that strong in the south. I am not sure, maybe that message also plays well in the mountain west in Wyoming, but how many delegates are there? Besides, which candidate is the Club for Growth for? Certainly not McCain, who is the only other Republican that scares me (at least as far as beating the Dems, as President, not so much)

If Huckabee wins the nomination, I really don't think he will have much difficulty raising the necessary cash. His win or loss won't be based on lack of cash.

December 3, 2007 11:43 AM

stgla said:

It's weird how Huckabee is the Republican John Edwards and Romney is the Republican John Kerry.

December 3, 2007 1:58 PM

virginiacentrist said:

They may not be big - but they have money and ties to the party apparatus in every state. That means that if they want a media narrative established, they can easily lean on their favorite local op-ed writer or columnist to write that story...or they can send out the talking points through talk radio...

That's why establishment candidates almost always win GOP primaries...they GOP establishment can easily send a message out to various media outlets that are friendly to their candidates.

PS: No, I'm some lefty talking about the big papers (Washington POst, etc). I'm talking about smaller conservative southern city papers (Richmond Times Dispatch) or talk radio...

December 3, 2007 2:17 PM

teplukhin2you said:

Talk radio is indeed ferocious. Dwarfs the blogosphere in every index of political influence (except money-raising). IIUC Limbaugh has s.t. like 15m loyal daily listeners, and he has locally-focused acolytes in every major media market.

December 3, 2007 4:35 PM

achester99 said:

Huckabee sounds like a religious pol in Israel and lots of other countries.  Which frankly, is a relief to me.  And it resolves the whole question about What's the Matter With Kansas.  I may not be anti-choice or anti-gay, but I appreciate that at least the religious right is starting to disentangle from the Republican Party, which has only caused it moral harm.  I don't understand how a truly religious and empathetic person CAN'T be "liberal" on issues like immigration, health care, the economy, etc.

And by the way, "Huckabee is the Republican John Edwards and Romney is the Republican John Kerry."  Great line!  That'll be my away message for a week.

December 4, 2007 1:53 AM