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TODAY'S STORIES
What Happens in Lebanon Doesn't Stay in Lebanon

No one really cares about Lebanon. And nobody really knows about Lebanon. I've been there myself and sat at the feet of my friend Fouad Ajami. If you can't learn about Lebanon from him you can't learn it from anyone.

 

I posted about Lebanon the other day and about how the cease-fire in the summer of 2006 opened the way for the calamity now unfolding -- almost completely unfolded already -- in the country.

 

A more detailed and, frankly, sharper analysis than mine was published in the Wall Street Journal earlier this week. It is by Bret Stephens, who is a master of prose even when he writes about tragedy, as the Lebanon horror certainly is.

 

To all you reflexive peace processors: there are things worse than cease fires, and those are cease fires in which one party has no intention of meeting its terms.  That's what occurred two years ago. I must say that I warned about this, and so did Bret. But not many others.

Posted 3:58 PM | Comments (1) Share this post

"German president complains of financial markets 'monster'"

This is the lede headline on the front page of today's Financial Times. The president is Horst Köhler and he is a deeply conservative man. The German president does not have much real power but he has intellectual and moral credit. And since his lashing is of the bankers who were responsible for a "massive destruction of assets," it is important to know that Köhler was the managing director and chairman of the board of the International Monetary Fund, that is, the real working head of the I.M.F.

Global financial markets have become a "monster," the president said, as reported by Bertrand Benoit and James Wilson. He also bemoaned the excessive pay of top executives which he believes leads them to make more and more injudicious judgements in business. "Scandalous" is how he characterized the whole system.

"The complexity of financial products and the possibility to carry out huge leveraged trades with little (of their) own capital have allowed the monster to grow...also responsible (is) the grotesquely high compensation of individual finance managers," said the former C.E.O. of I.M.F., a person who surely knows.

How about a candidate for the American presidency uttering such truths? How could he or she, being so indebted to tycoons?

Posted 3:49 PM | Comments (4) Share this post

Why Is Hillary Stunned?

A headline in today's Boston Globe reports that "Edwards, rights group, back Obama." The article by Scott Helman actually delivers two shockers to Hillary. The first is that John Edwards, who has real rapport with and real understanding of working class Americans, has endorsed Barack Obama.

The second, probably deeper shock is that the National Abortion Rights Action League (NARAL) has also chosen Obama over Clinton. I can imagine Hillary's whining: "After all, I've done for them." Here's what she really said: I am "disappointed because of the work I've done for so many years." Just as I said she said.

Of course, the NARAL folk are realists, and they have a cause to defend and project. But it's hard to imagine there are strong emotional ties between Hillary and, really, anyone. Except that Ellen R. Malcolm, founder of Emily's List, said it was a matter of respect. It was "tremendously disrespectful" to Clinton to "not giver the courtesy to finish the final three weeks of the primary process." But Emily's List is in the business of supporting women for public office, not men. Ergo...

And as for Hillary's conceit that she is the natural choice of working class Americans, here's another stunner. According to Foon Rhee, also in the Globe, a Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday gave John McCain a seven point lead (48% to 41%) among whites without a college education over Hillary. McCain's lead over Obama in the category was also seven points: 46% to 39%.

But in a survey of all voters, Obama beats out McCain 48% to 37%, a lead of 11%. Clinton would also lead MCain, but by only five percent, 46% to 41%. Even aside from Hillary's character, which lead would be easier to protect.

Posted 1:14 PM | Comments (19) Share this post

Hillary's New York Senate Bid Opened the Path for Obama's Presidential Run

What do I mean? Actually, it is Hendrik Hertzberg's cut-through-the-haze
insight in the New Yorker as to how Barack Obama came to run for the
presidency and sidetrack her unquenchable ambitions. Rick suggests that
the Clinton couple's upwardly mobile ambitions predisposed them to New York
(for example: "Bill's not really a Second City kind of guy"), her political
next-step, rather than to Hillary's home state, Illinois. Anyway, this
opened Illinois to the aspirations of the young state senator, and the rest
is history.

In his characteristic crystalline prose, Rick reprises the self-made
disasters of her campaign. Each of them is as quick as a stab in the
heart, although my guess is that Bill and Hillary see all of these through
self-righteous eyes. Maybe even her ugly assertion that "working,
hardworking Americans, white Americans" were more for her than for Obama. It is true, after all, isn't it?  But it is true in ways that
should make us ashamed.

Hertzberg allows a little bit of mush to muddle his prose when he "proves"
that her record "is the very opposite of racist." But, then, racism would
have never in any of her previous ventures given Hillary a one-up over
anybody. But she was looking on towards West Virginia, and a bit of
stereotyping there would never hurt her.

Rick sees the end of her, as in an elegant and yet truthful encomium.

 

Posted 7:23 PM | Comments (12) Share this post

Lebanon: Take Two
My last posting on Lebanon was half-intuition, half-nightmare. It has already happened. By the time a Reuters dispatch was on the web, 81 people were already dead. How many corpses will there be by the time you read this? One indication that the casualty figures are unexpectedly high is that there are apparently now estimates of the wounded and the maimed.
 
Ha'aretz just posted an analysis by Zvi Barel, not a projection of the future but of the dying present. He reports the grim observation of a Lebanese commentator: "Those who previously demanded that Hezbolah be disarmed are now being compelled to disarmed themselves."
 
Lebanon is dead. It was killed by Condi Rice's righteous cease fire.
 
Travel advisory: Do not visit Beirut.
 
An alternative perhaps? Certainly not Dubai. It also has no real life, but in another way.
 
Lebanon is dead.

Posted 10:42 PM | Comments (29) Share this post

Trouble in Lebanon
They were obsessed with the war between Israel and Hezbollah. It had to stop: a cease fire at all costs. So Condi Rice stepped into the fray and, as soon as Israel had truly won the upper hand in battle, she produced a cease fire.  Its terms were on every essential count altogether vague. The U.N. force that had been a flop for so long in keeping the peace would now be enlarged. But there was no certainty as to its numbers or its composition, its mission in general or its specific relations with Syria and its mercurial pawn, Hezbollah. Hassan Nasrallah taunted everybody that his death machine was stronger than ever. Most governments laughed. The people of Lebanon--at least most of its Christians, the Sunnis and the Druze--now realize that his claims are no joke. The Shi'a grasped that long ago, and most of them have been following his bloody banner ever since.
 
The only success the cease fire had was in preventing Israel from impeding the Syrian and Iranian rearmament of the fiery militia that has now shown that its power is not limited to southern Lebanon but extends way north to Tripoli and into the Bekaa Valley. A very informative account of the developments in Lebanon--actually a crystal-clear account--in Monday's Financial Times reports that "Saudi and Egyptian officials said they were dismayed by Hizbollah's actions, which they have described as unacceptable." Unacceptable? This is the vernacular of pretentious regimes that can affect nothing.
 
Ten days ago foolish Israelis took up the chorus of withdrawal from the Golan and peace with Syria. The sage and sober editorialists in the Western press got very excited. But the events in Lebanon are more than a hint that Bashir Assad does not want this celebration.
 
If you want to read a truly desolating account of how we came to this pass and what it implies for the future of the Middle East read Beni Avni's article in Monday's New York Sun.

Posted 10:11 PM | Comments (21) Share this post

Some Common Sense About Peace
Abdurrahman Wahid is the former president of Indonesia, the most populous Muslim country in the world.  He has written an article with Abdul A'la, associate dean if graduate studies at Sunan Ampel Islamic State University at Surabaya.  I admit it: I saw these two names and the headline, "The Obstacles to Israeli-Palestinian Peace," over their op-ed essay and wondered what it was doing in the staunchly pro-Zionist Wall Street Journal.
 
Then I realized that I had seen Wahid's name before, and that he was a Muslim heretic about the widely entrenched dogma in the Muslim world around Israel.  The piece is clear, strong and complex.  He knows that there are forces in the Jewish state that are quite averse to a dignified settlement of the hundred-year conflict, and their position has been reinforced by the hatred they see coming from the Arab world.
 
But Wahid and A'la are not speaking to the Jewish world.  They are speaking as Muslims to the Muslim world.  "These prejudices contaminate public discourse throughout the world, and are constantly exploited by Middle Eastern regimes that fuel anti-Israel and anti-Semitic emotions for political purposes, while displaying little or no actual concern for the well-being of the Palestinians themselves."
 
May their wisdom flourish.

Posted 9:26 PM | Comments (3) Share this post

What Else is News?

 

"After 60 Years, Arabs in Israel Are Outsiders." That's the headline over Ethan Bronner's New York Times piece from several days ago. After Lord knows how many years that the United Kingdom's been around, the Scots and the Welsh and even the Cornish(!) feel as if they're "outsiders." The same goes for Romanians in Hungary, the Quebecois of Canada, and the Swedish-speaking Finns. Minorities in every country across the world -- except, of course, in the United States -- face similar anxieties, anxieties that are incumbent upon non-majorities.

 

Posted 2:11 PM | Comments (31) Share this post

Pity the Clintons' Minions

The humiliating defeat of Hillary Clinton is not only her being vanquished by someone she concedes is an amateur. She has also persuaded herself that this means the decline of American liberalism, as well. This is utter nonsense, of course.

I am pretty sure that the maze of snarling careerists that has assembled around the star couple does not really have these illusions. They were simply convinced, like the old British ruling class, that destiny would bless them with power.

Alas, not. So who will disappear from the scene after up to 20 years of playing court to the Clintons? Here are the people who occur to me: the Cajun bowling ball James Carville, Harold Ickes, Mark Penn, Maggie Williams.

The best of the old bunch, Rahm Emanuel and George Stephanopoulos, long ago deserted the nest, and have gone on to do productive work.

Posted 1:7 PM | Comments (36) Share this post

History, Mind and Palestine

When I write of history I do not mean events and happenings of a year ago, although it would be an improvement of public understanding if mainstream media could at least get this time frame right. The distortions, both because of ignorance and malice, of the history of Palestine and of the State of Israel are so grievous that one hardly knows where to begin. 

But the most crucial moment is clear...and virtually unknown or deliberately forgotten by press professionals who have the esteem of the public. 

First a bit of prelude. The conflict between the Jews and Arabs of Palestine goes back to the late nineteenth century, when pre-Zionists and Zionists began their return to, well, yes, Zion. Of course, there had been Jews in the Holy Land throughout the centuries of the dispersion, although they were not masses of Jews. Neither were there masses of Arabs in Palestine, although there were more than there were Jews. Jerusalem, on the other hand, had a majority of Jews since the first census in 1842.  With the Jewish migration (which meant Jewish capital and enterprise) came also an inward Arab migration -- a tremendous inward migration -- from other parts of the Ottoman Middle East.  After all, Syria and Lebanon and Jordan and Iraq did not then exist as countries. Moving from one of them to Palestine was like moving from Manhattan to Brooklyn, and nearly as short. No borders, no frontiers, no passports, no visas, no police.  And when Zionists said that Palestine was a country "without a people" it meant just that: Palestine was populated by clans and tribes who had virtually no consciousness of nationhood or of peoplehood. 

Then came the British who were committed on their own initiative and then by the League of Nations to a Jewish commonwealth in Palestine. The Brits were not consistent in meeting their solemn pledges. But such minimal Arab resistance to early mass Jewish arrival and to Jewish work as occurred was, on the one hand, vigilante terror and, on the other, explicit cooperation in the selling-off of land to the arrivals by both the local effendi and the local fellah.  And then came mayhem.  It was clear from the late twenties and early thirties on that the only resolution to the conflict was a partition of Palestine.  On this almost no one would claim that history is other than black and white. The Arab leadership would not countenance territorial arrangements that would allow for a Jewish state. And nothing was done to have Palestine become an Arab state. The destiny of Palestine would be in the hands of Egypt and other entities formed out of the Turkish empire in the aftermath of its defeat in World War I.

Which brings us to the Partition Plan for Palestine approved by the United Nations on November 29, 1947, the crucial moment, the single most crucial moment is the hundred years of tears and blood. The local Arabs had contempt for this plan and the surrounding Arabs made war on this plan. The Jewish Agency for Palestine went ahead and declared the independence of Israel on May 14, 1948. Had the Palestinian Arabs accepted the proposal, they would now be celebrating the sixtieth year of their independence and sovereignty in territory far larger than the land assigned to the Jews. We know what happened then. I believe that the Palestinians -- they did capture the nomenclature if nothing else! -- are as far from independence as ever.

Much is being written these days about Israel's sixtieth birthday. Some potted history, some truly serious.  Efraim Karsh, whom TNR subscribers have read often in our pages and on our web site, has done a clarifying, no, truly illuminating historical essay for Commentary on many of the grave matters on which I touched above.  Make sure you read the footnotes for sometimes -- and this time certainly -- the footnotes are half of the story. This will be an essay that changes people's minds. Truth will be the beneficiary.

Another piece I recommend is in last month's Commentary. By the gifted young writer David Billet, it is a review of Bernard Avishai's The Hebrew Republic. (Avishai was once before reviewed in TNR, that time by the brilliant literary and political intellectual Marie Syrkin, alas, now dead. But she got his number.)  his book, like Avishai's first, is a tale of his disenchantment. Poor preening boy. He needs to have the approval of Tony Judt and the rest who believe that justice is only done when the Jewish state is maximally endangered.


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Look on the Bright Side: At Least Bill Clinton's Speaking Fees Will Decrease

So Hillary has lent another $6 million to her campaign. But the campaign will never pay it back, no way. So who will? If she loses the nomination as she now seems utterly bound to do, it will be the Obama campaign or the Democratic National Committee. Which means that Obama partisans and regular party enthusiasts will be doing the funding of her ambition and her vanity.

Of course, Bill will still be able to speak to the Emirates and those silly synagogues in California and New Jersey. But, with her presidential career finished and he having been exposed as more of a lout than I ever thought, his fees will be much lower.

 

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Freud and Israel

Today, May 6, is the 152nd anniversary of the birth of Sigmund Freud, a momentous day in the history of civilization, of mankind's understanding of mankind, of humanity's efforts to tame itself.

This week begins the celebration of the sixtieth anniversary of the birth of the State of Israel.

On March 13, 1938 at a board meeting of the Vienna Psychoanalytic Society it was decided that everyone who could should flee and the seat of the society
should be wherever Freud settled. At the meeting Freud said:

"After the destruction of the Temple in Jerusalem by Titus, Rabbi Jochanan ben Sakkai asked for permission to open a school at Javneh for the study of the Torah. We are going to do the same. We are after all used to persecution by our history, tradition and some of us by personal experience..."

Freud made several references to ben Sakkai whose efforts inspired to found his a
cademy. Palestine was one place to which at the moment of the dissolution of the Vienna society, Jewish psychoanalysts might migrate. 

 

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Let Them Live in Chappaqua!

It was not only Hillary Clinton who lost big-time in North Carolina. It was also Bill Clinton who spent an uninterrupted week in the state campaigning so that the two might once again inhabit the White House. Don't they understand that the people do not want them. Let them live in Chappaqua or Little Rock or even apart. But not at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

 

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Putting Wright in Perspective

Ever since Jeremiah Wright made his debut on the wider American political stage many people -- and especially white liberals -- have been wondering: what do he and his church represent in black religious life in the country? When most white liberals (sometimes, I confess, me included) talk about African-American matters, they speak from a very thin, even wobbly base of knowledge. That's been happening in the last six weeks again. It's my impression, in fact, that the consensus in this camp was that Wright was something of a prototypical figure and his church was very much like hundreds, maybe thousands of others. But this was bad news, and so the like-minded made it into a moral tale: white racism was still so rampant that millions of blacks were compelled to see the country, more or less, through Wright's eyes or through eyes like Wright's.

I've finally read an illuminating piece by two scholars who really know American blacks and black institutions, They are Stephan and Abigail Thernstrom, a husband and wife team, he the Winthrop professor of history at Harvard, she a political scientist and the vice chair of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights, who are optimists about the African American future -- optimists, if only policy-makers weren't so attached to a grim view of what African Americans can accomplish.

In any case, they've written this article, "Examining the United Church of Christ," at realclearpolitics.com that puts Trinity into its proper place in relation to other black churches and shows how different it is from them. The U.C.C. is actually a white church with a few black subalterns. This used to be the old, sensible and modest Congregational Church which maybe still feels guilty for those of its seventeenth and eighteenth century communicants who were in the slave trade.

 

 

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Sotheby's and the Sheikh: Oil and Starving Artists

Rising oil prices in the last few years has meant smoldering resentment among users of ordinary fuel: to keep cars on the road, to heat houses, to power this, that and the other thing. But to the oil barons and to the real oil monarch it has been a tremendous boon. (No, this has not translated into higher living standards of the Arab fellah and certainly not of the fourth generation of Palestinian "refugees.") 

Of course, the oil rich do get richer, much richer, and there is a concentric circle of beneficiaries who get paid for their wares in sums they never imagined. Among these are the artists of the latest fashions, their dealers and the auction houses.  The Art Newspaper has been keeping track of rising prices in the markets, with a particular focus on Middle Eastern collectors, while not ignoring the new zillionaires of the former Soviet Union and what is still politically very much Communist China. 

The May issue of the paper has a front page article on the acquisition at Sotheby's by the Emir of Qatar and his wife, the sheikh and a sheikha each with five names after their titles, acquired what the headline calls "the most expensive (Damien) Hirst" ever for $20 million. That seems to me not to be true. Wasn't there a diamond encrusted skull by Hirst that was sold for $100 million...or maybe it was 100 million pounds?  In any case, the sheikh and sheikha laid about twenty million bucks for what the report describes  as a sculpture

The Qatari royals may be socially and politically conservative but they sure spend money on what is "cutting edge" art and what was once -- and not so long ago -- also was thought of as "cutting edge" art. That is, they paid $73 million also at Sotheby's for what is called the "Rockefeller Rothko," "White Center (Yellow, Pink and Lavender on Rose)," consigned by David Rockefeller. 

There is in the same issue of The Art Newspaper an article reporting that the Abu Dhabi Guggenheim will have a "potentially unlimited" budget. There the question is: will it have visitors?

And speaking of art prices, there are two articles in this morning's Wall Street Journal that are sociologically fascinating. One is a general story about sky-rocketing values in both modern and contemporary art.  The other, rather shocking, is in the upward price climb of Andy Warhol's portraits of Mao. Christie's has a large portrait of the Chairman on private sale in Hong Kong for $120 million. Of course, there are dozens of these around at all levels of price and many different mediums. But why would an extremely wealthy person living under communism want a picture of the tyrant in his house? Or is this something ironic?

Posted 7:14 PM | Comments (1) Share this post

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