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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
12.12.2008
Forced Resettlement: One Solution to Unemployment

Julia Ioffe is a writer living in New York City.

As the U.S. Senate sent American car companies and all those union jobs packing, one country seemed to be taking big steps to help its Main Streeters weather the storm. In a law passed quickly and easily this morning, the Russian parliament voted to greatly expand unemployment benefits just as jobless numbers grew by 84 percent, or 39,000 people, in the last week alone.

Now, the minimum unemployment benefit will rise by 60 percent to 1275 rubles a month (with the ruble in the can, that's about $46 at today's exchange rate). And in an uncharacteristically charitable move, the Duma extended those benefits even to those who left their jobs voluntarily. Apparently, the government has taken into account that many of the recent lay-offs have been disguised as forced resignations or demotions to part-time work.

The most interesting part of the new law, however, allows the government to do what Russian governments have always been expert at doing: forcibly resettling people. Now, the state will be able to move the unemployed to parts of the country where there are labor shortages. But, as demand for Russian commodities drops off and factories all over the country are slashing their work forces, it's hard to see where those labor shortages might be. And with the jobless rate set to double to ten percent next year, it's even harder to see how Russia, with its notoriously non-existent infrastructure, plans to resettle a few million people. Good luck, Vladimir.

--Julia Ioffe

Posted: Friday, December 12, 2008 3:36 PM with 5 comment(s)

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rozenson said:

The prophecy is being fulfilled:

www.payer.de/.../arbeit307151.gif

December 12, 2008 4:11 PM

wildboy said:

It seems that Joseph Stalin -- a man that Vladimir & Co. greatly esteem -- was quite good at resettling people in areas with "non-existent infrastructure", at least as long as there was a railhead somewhere in the vicinity.  They even built a few cities in said place (e.g., Magnitogorsk).  I assume that we will see the Russian government doing more of the same some time soon, no?

December 12, 2008 4:16 PM

cthulhu2008 said:

lol if there were places with job shortages people would move there voluntarily...

December 12, 2008 6:26 PM

viyer said:

I disagree with cthulhu2008. People frequently don't move even when there aren't jobs. Think Detroit. And 'home ownership' (which should be called home borrowership) is definitely one of the reasons. I'm not sure about 'forced' resettlement, but incentivized resettlement is something our country should be thinking long and hard about. Rather than coming up with expensive projects for 'reviving' rural america, we should be thinking about how to get more and more population into reasonably dense regions. Without doing this, effective government will be very difficult. And it's becoming increasingly environmentally and energetically impossible to maintain such a spread out country, with virtually all transport being automotive.

December 12, 2008 9:35 PM

Nari224 said:

Thanks to cthulhu for giving us an object lesson in where textbook economics sharply diverges from the real world.

Despite plenty of evidence to the contrary (see Detroit and old east Germany), a hardcore group must still find it comforting to reduce people to economic units only. And economic units should simply flow to where they will be the most productively employed. While the theory is obviously useful (it cleary predicts net trends) the real world, as usual, is more complex. And let's not even get started about what the expecration of such migratory patterns would do to family units.

A lot can be discerened about someone's outlook on life by whether, when faced with the divergence, you feel that there is something wrong with the people or something wrong (or simplistic) with the model.

December 13, 2008 9:00 AM