When I was a lowly high school debater, more Sundays than
not, a certain quotation found its way into my raptured analyses of everything
from third world industrialization to the development of an ICBM defense
system. The quotation comes from the 1,700-page Chinese epic The Romance of
the Three Kingdoms. Shocked that anyone had ever actually completed
this book, I nevertheless deployed its main thesis with aplomb:
Empires wax and wane, states
coalesce and cleave asunder.
It was the O-negative
of the DANEIS league; multipurpose and devastating to even the most
binder-laden opponent. In lovely prose, it suggests that global civic change is
inevitable, that one century's Portugal
is another century's Persia
is another century's America.
No nation is sacred.
I relate the story because of what's on Barack Obama's
bookshelf. The New York Times has flagged
this snapshot of Barack Obama with his finger slipped between the pages of
Fareed Zakaria's latest book, The
Post-American World.
To look at the US
news media (among our many fine but flawed exports), America is in waning mode. Toppling
markets; a distinct educational gap, defined in part by poor immigration policy;
a foreign fire sale on real estate; sky-high energy costs; sky-high national
debt; a virtually lone prosecution of two foreign wars; growing international
antipathy; rising domestic malcontent
and--holy hell. Why does anyone want to be president of this mess?
The Times' review,
however, makes a point of distinguishing this work from the Chicken
Little
lit that bookended the closing years of the Cold War: "Zakaria’s is not
another exercise in declinism," writes Jeffrey Josef Joffe. Firstly, any cursory
glance at the seismic changes in the world economic--not to speak of political
and cultural--order makes it clear we have much history to go. The economic
ascent of the Pacific and Indian Oceans, fueled by the rise of petro-states like Russia, Venezuela and the UAE, and the
remarkable diffusion of technological knowledge--for better or, in the case of
rogue states, worse--will undoubtedly define this century. The population
multiplier effect will, of course, make any actions taken China and India
(and to a lesser extent, Brazil and South Africa)
all the more resonant.
But second, the United States will likewise play an
outsized role. Speaking recently at Politics and Prose in Washington, Zakaria
made his point rather counterintuitively: In this catastrophe-laden stretch
since roughly 2003, the United
States has sneezed repeatedly and still the
world has not fallen ill. Does this mean Americans are irrelevant? Is everyone
else suddenly immune to both our charms and germs?
In fact, Zakaria is arguing, this is not an either/or
proposition. The United States
is very good at just about every event in the geopolitical decathlon, and in
some arenas (higher education, defense) can still crack a five-minute mile. But
increasingly, nations flung across the globe are discovering a penchant for the
pole-vault. By adopting quintessentially American models of competition and
keening toward best practices--now visible across lowering informational
barriers--developing countries are following the leader into the lead.
Zakaria feels that, in a humming, multipolar world,
Americans must realize that they, too
can learn from others. Seems pretty basic, but there is little evidence that this dialogue is taking place (on energy, for example, we could be learning a lot). Apparently, that’s where Obama comes in. Tom
Schaller makes
the case that he's our next best export, noting particularly:
Mr. Obama and his foreign policy
team emphasize "dignity promotion" over "democracy
expansion." If that notion itself sounds a wee bit soft, think again. What
Mr. Obama believes is that in societies paralyzed by dehumanizing poverty,
ethnic and tribal violence, or lacking safe or abundant food and water
supplies, not only is there little hope of democracies emerging, there's a much
greater chance to germinate terrorist ideas.
If he's reading Zakaria, perhaps* he also believes that such common
sense solutions are ours for the teaching and taking. Foreign policy must be
conducted in the hope that the nations we help to strengthen will
in turn produce ideas that turn our planet one day. How else to be
post-anything?
Anyway, it's encouraging to
see such synergy--even if only literary--between two smart young men. The first chapter of The
Post-American World is here.
Other good discussions of Zakaria's book can be found here,
here
and here.
--Dayo Olopade
*updated 5/23