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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
27.04.2008
How Not to Inform the Public, by The New York Times

Everybody knows that poilticians like to fudge budget numbers. Specifcially, they use optimistic projections and intellectual sleight of hands to make their initiatives look better. Whether it's tax cuts or new spending programs, they offer all kinds of benefits and yet, magically, manage not to cost that much money.

Still, some politicians are more honest than others. A lot more. To take one easy example, Bill Clinton and his advisers may have over-estimated the savings the administration's ill-fated health care plan might have yielded. But they never pulled the kind of intellectual shenanigans that the Bush Administration did with its tax cut, the Medicare drug plan, or the cost of the Iraq War.

Now history is repeating itself. All three of the remaining presidential candidates have put forward ambitious plans for their would-be presidencies. With Clinton and Obama, the ambition lies primarily with their new spending proposals, chief among them universal health insurance. In McCain's case, the ambition consists primarily of reducing taxess, starting with the preservation of the Bush tax cuts. And while all three candidates promise simultaneously to reduce the deficit, it's almost certainly true that all three candidates are over-promising. There probably isn't enough money to fund all of Clinton and Obama's spending if they're serious about deficit reduction, just as there probably isn't enough money to fund McCain's tax cuts if he's serious about reducing the deficit. 

But there's a huge difference in how far off they are. According to a group of budget analysts cited in Sunday's New York Times, McCain's plan could add $5.7 trillion to the national debt over the next decade. Clinton and Obama's plan would add about a third as much.

Clinton and Obama can probably achieve most of their goals either by trimming (rather than ditching) some proposals, finding a politically acceptable way to raise a few taxes, or letting the deficit grow at a moderate rate. (Or, most likely, some combination of the three.) McCain, by contrast, is going to have to jettison some of his ideas altogether. Either he'll have to let go of those tax cuts or he'll have to let the deficit explode.

This is, arguably, a very important distinction--one about which the voters should know, as it says a lot about the candidates' honesty and ability to govern. The Times deserves great credit for highlighting it.

But I suspect many readers of the Sunday Times didn't grasp this distinction. In fact, I suspect many came away with the very opposite impression about the candidates--i.e., that they're all equally irresponsible. The reason is the story's headline, "3 CANDIDATES WITH THREE FINANCIAL PLANS, BUT ONE DEFICIT," and the first two paragarphs, which read as follows:

The Republican and Democratic presidential candidates differ strikingly in their approaches to taxes and spending, but their fiscal plans have at least one thing in common: each could significantly swell the budget deficit and increase the national debt by trillions of dollars, according to tax and budget experts.

The reasons reflect the ideological leanings of the candidates, with Senator John McCain proposing tax cuts that go beyond President Bush’s and the Democrats advocating programs costing hundreds of billions of dollars. But for fiscal experts concerned with the deficit, both approaches are worrisome.

"One deficit." "One thing in common." "Both approaches are worrisome." It's not until the fifth pargarph that the story gets around to informing readers that one candidate, McCain, is making promises that are wildly more unrealistic than the others.

It's just one article, of course, but it's also indicative of a broader phenomenon in campaign coverage: Journalists trying so hard to seem even-handed that they end up distorting reality. I have no idea whether it was the reporters or editors who chose to frame this particular story this way. Either way, though, it was a poor, if all too typical, decision.

--Jonathan Cohn

Posted: Sunday, April 27, 2008 11:23 PM with 8 comment(s)

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rozenson said:

When are you going to learn that the media -- led by the ultra-lefty New York Times -- is dominated by liberals?

April 28, 2008 12:05 AM

lunahowl said:

rozenson,

What does that have to do with Jonathan's point, even if we accept that the NYT is "ultra-lefty"?  Jonathan's point is that  the NYT did McCain a favor by suggesting that his irresponsible plans were equivalent to the Democrats' irresponsible plans.  The essay makes clear that Hillary and Obama would add far less to the deficit than McCain, but the paper's desire for fairness (possibly in regret for their awful piece on McCain's supposed "mistress"?) led them to obfuscate that point.

April 28, 2008 3:34 AM

aeromonas said:

Luna, I'm pretty sure rozenon was engaging in something we call irony.

April 28, 2008 7:02 AM

Wandreycer1 said:

The NYT has really gone down hill in general, tough to even read anymore.  They are also pretty much a Hillary propoganda machine these days (today is just a joke) - Hillary whines, they leap.  Its gross.

April 28, 2008 8:13 AM

ejbenjamin said:

Here's my theory of liberal media impotence.

The NYT and all the rest are fully aware that they are liberal institutions staffed by liberal writers and editors.  As such they are conscious to exercise restraint when reporting negatively on a conservative politician-- they are aware of their own bias and are deliberate to check it.

However, because there is no bias to be checked when reporting negatively on a liberal, they feel free to engage in all sorts of criticism.  "Hey, of course I'm being fair," they think.  "I'm attacking the guy I agree with."

The end result, of course, is harsh criticism of liberals by the liberal press, and a hands-off policy for conservatives.

This might all be fine if the conservative press had the same qualms.  But because the conservative press makes no effort to exercise restraint with their own biases, they are effectively the same as the liberal press-- attacking liberals and going easy on conservatives-- just for the opposite reasons.

April 28, 2008 11:19 AM

roidubouloi said:

I think you are quite right ejbenjamin.  But it makes the accusation that the media are "liberal" all that much more unbearable.  One might also add that the country in general holds liberals to a standard of adult behavior.  The things they say have to make sense, have to be supported with evidence, have to be rational or they are quickly subjected to withering criticism.  For some reason, no such rules apply to conservatives.  They are free to vent their insane views with not even an effort to connect them to reality and no one thinks it odd.  Indeed, it is what we expect -- conservatives are there to entertain us with their jingoism and hate-filled fantasies.  Liberals have to clean up the mess.

April 28, 2008 12:26 PM

roidubouloi said:

Withal, The New York Times disgraces itself daily, indeed several times a day. I barely bother reading any more.

April 28, 2008 12:27 PM

purcellneil said:

Jonathan

I had the same reaction to that article.  McCain wants to extend and expand upon the tax cut giveaways of the present administration.  He wants to continue the war indefinitely - perhaps for 100 years.  This is downright reckless and in no way is it sensible to compare this with Democratic proposals to ensure that the world's most expensive health care system actually meets our needs.

I don't think this reflects any bias at the NYT - just the typical mediocre attempt to sound balanced, even when that distorts the truth.  

Neil

April 28, 2008 12:28 PM