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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
19.02.2008
More on Clinton's Insane New Strategy

The Clinton plan to go after delegates already pledged to Obama--i.e., delegates he "won" in caucuses and primaries--seems to me, if anything, even more self-destructive than Isaac describes. The Politico story by Roger Simon (who deserves kudos for the scoop) repeatedly suggests that the reason the Clinton campaign is talking about going after these delegates is that it wants to avoid the appearance that unelected superdelegates could decide the race and be perceived as overruling the will of the voters:

But one neutral Democratic operative said to me: “If you are Hillary Clinton, you know you can’t get the nomination just with superdelegates without splitting the party. You have to go after the pledged delegates.”

Winning with superdelegates is potentially party-splitting because it could mean throwing out the choice of the elected delegates and substituting the choice of 795 party big shots.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has warned against it. “I think there is a concern when the public speaks and there is a counter-decision made to that,” she said. “It would be a problem for the party if the verdict would be something different than the public has decided.”

Donna Brazile, who was Al Gore’s campaign manager in 2000 and is a member of the DNC, said recently: “If 795 of my colleagues decide this election, I will quit [the DNC]. I feel very strongly about this.”

On Sunday, Doug Wilder, the mayor of Richmond and a former governor of Virginia, went even further, predicting riots in the streets if the Clinton campaign were to overturn an Obama lead through the use of superdelegates.

“There will be chaos at the convention,” Wilder told Bob Schieffer on “Face the Nation.”

“If you think 1968 was bad, you watch: In 2008, it will be worse.”

As Simon writes: "But would getting pledged delegates to switch sides be any less controversial? Perhaps not."

Perhaps? You must be kidding me. It's one thing to go after free-floating superdelegates whom everyone knows are allowed to vote their conscience, even if it means going against the popular will. If the Clinton campaign seriously goes after pledged delegates, delegates explicitly chosen by voters to support another candidate, the uproar would (rightly) make the old target-the-superdelegates strategy look like a minor faux pas among friends.

The reason all the Democrats quoted in Simon's article are focusing on how bad the superdelegate strategy would be for the party isn't because they think it would be better if one of the candidates instead tried to pry away the other's pledged delegates. It's because none of them imagined a campaign would be brazen enough to publicly announce that this was its plan. I mean, honestly, is there any more explicit way of overruling the voters than pressuring the delegates they elected to switch sides and violate their written (though evidently non-binding) pledge?

One other brief point: The Clinton folks quoted in the article repeatedly assert that they're confident that Barack Obama will try to do the same thing, based of course on no evidence of any kind. Indeed the sole Obamaite quoted in the article says he is unaware of any such plan. So why does Simon just accept the Clintons' disingenuous spin at face value in his closing graphs:

If, however, after the April 22 Pennsylvania primary the pledged delegate count looks very close, the Clinton official said, “[both] sides will start working all delegates.”

In other words, Clinton and Obama will have to go after every delegate who is alive and breathing.

Perhaps that "Clinton official" should just be speaking on behalf of the candidate he knows firsthand is contemplating overturning the democratic process and tearing the party apart. 

Correction: I initially credited the Politico story to Ben Smith rather than Roger Simon. I have corrected the text and apologize for any confusion.

Update: TPM has Clinton spokesman Phil Singer adamantly denying the story. Jon Chait's suspicions may have been well-founded.

--Christopher Orr

Posted: Tuesday, February 19, 2008 9:39 AM with 13 comment(s)

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nkocz said:

Question:  has Roger Stone been hired onto the Clinton campaign recently?  The tactics these reports suggest are so nasty that only a Nixon Dirty Trickster could be responsible for them.

February 19, 2008 10:38 AM

virginiacentrist said:

Obama needs to call a press conference.

He needs to say the following (in a more eloquent way than I formulate it):

"If, god forbid, the nomination is deadlocked after voting, I will not seek OR accept support from Hillary Clinton's pledged delegates. I don't want to win that way."

February 19, 2008 10:51 AM

The Plank said:

Isaac and Chris , below, react with outrage at Politico story that Hillary Clinton plans to try to flip

February 19, 2008 11:03 AM

glacialspeed said:

If the Clinton campaign were the movie "This is Spinal Tap," this would be the "Stonehenge" scene.

February 19, 2008 11:03 AM

dbhuff said:

I agree, VA, this is the way to 1) be above the fray, and 2) point out the Clinton underhanded strategy in a positive way.

February 19, 2008 11:06 AM

nkocz said:

And Obama needs to paint this as a Clinton effort to disenfranchise millions of Democratic primary voters.  After all, that's what this gambit for pledged delegates is: a disenfranchisement.  Equate Clinton the George W./Dick Cheney/Karl Rove  school of cynacism.

February 19, 2008 11:06 AM

kgrant1054 said:

It is all a part of the Clinton team's new strategy of wallowing in the murk and dragging Obama down to their level, then turning around and saying that Obama is a bad man, and certainly not the paragon of political virtue that you have been led to believe.

As they have not been able to find a reason for anybody to vote 'for' Hillary, other than that her last name is Clinton, they need to be able to persuade enough people to vote 'against' Obama.   They will take down the new kid with his idealism because this is not about the country, it is about the Clinton Restoration.

Each new tactic reveals this as mere reclamation project.  I wish that there was something that Obama could actually say, but I don't see how it can be done without sounding petty and incredibly cynical.  

All I know is that each time the Clinton campaign pulls a new dirty trick out of the hat, the RNC simply stockpiles the comments, knowing that their ads continue to write themselves.  They won't even have to work up a sweat in the fall in regard to the ad campaigns:  (Ominous narrator-man): "Senator Clinton will do anything, say anything, to get elected...Look at what she did to a fellow Democrat during the Primaries...(smirking Hillary):'This is the fun part.'  (ominous narrator-man): Elect Hillary Clinton and America will prove that Machiavelli was right...about everything.  God help us all."

I keep waiting for the announcement that Rove has joined her campaign staff.

February 19, 2008 11:10 AM

Rhubarbs said:

Why is this considered a foolish (or "insane") tactical move for Hillary? Her whole candidacy is based on the following theory:

Gore and Kerry got steamrolled by the Republican Attack Machine because they showed common decency and restraint at key moments in the campaign. Hillary suffers from no such scruples, therefore she is the only Democrat who can survive the oncoming Republican onslaught.

Playing dirty -- even broadcasting her intention to play dirty -- reinforces her narrative of being the candidate of unscrupulous win-at-all-costs politics.

And at some levels, Hillary is right. There really is an undercurrent of Bush-envy among Democratic activists, people who kind of wish that we had our own Dubya and our own Rove so that we could stick it to the GOP as bad as they done to us. Hillary has a very strong appeal to this sentiment, and with the very good reason that in nearly every way, she is the Democratic George W. Bush.

February 19, 2008 11:17 AM

The Plank said:

TPM has Clinton campaign spokesman Phil Singer adamantly denying the Roger Simon Politico story that

February 19, 2008 11:31 AM

fougasseu said:

Obama should ignore this, stay on message, not be distracted. Machiavellian tactics worked when operatives worked in the shadows. In the digital age, as Rove learned, transparency foils the most cunning strategist who tries to bend or break the rules.

February 19, 2008 11:32 AM

virginiacentrist said:

Rhubarbs -

I sort of agree. She's been successful at framing her candidacy as "willing to fight dirty". But there are probably ways to do that without making your campaign also look incompetent and unable to stick to a disciplined message (Billy Shaheen is a great example).

February 19, 2008 11:37 AM

gregstolhand said:

The Bush envy crowd of ativists are the insane ones in the party.  It would be foolish to think that Hillary could go after the GOP like they can go after her.  Dems are amateurs at this type of fight and should bring it to a higher plane (read Obama).  She can't even fight dirty well with someone in her own party.  With every attempt she looks weaker and weaker.

February 19, 2008 11:44 AM

blackton said:

here was a good comment from politico talkback

"Clinton spokesman Phil Singer told me Monday he assumes the Obama campaign is going after delegates pledged to Clinton, though a senior Obama aide told me he knew of no such strategy."

I think that's kind of cut and dried right there. One group believes that the will of the people matters. The other doesn't - and assumes that everyone else plays by the same "do anything to win" rules because they can't conceive of something saying "Yeah - will of the people is more important."

February 19, 2008 11:50 AM