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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
12.02.2008
Environmental Mandates Versus Carbon Taxes

Via Kevin Drum, Mark Thoma has an interesting post asking the question: If it's universally acknowledged that carbon taxes are a better means of fighting global warming than clunky mandates like CAFE standards, why is it that mandates seem to have far more political viability? Mark thinks it might have to do with concerns about equity:

I don't think policies that allow certain segment of the population to "buy out" of the constraint will find much popular support. If the poor are passed by roaring, gas guzzling, sports cars on the freeway as they drive their gas saving, small hybrid, they won't feel that is fair, not unless our transportation infrastructure changes dramatically. ... A mandate, done properly, may have poor economic properties, but I think people support them because at least there's a chance that a mandate will force the luxury cars to abide by the same mpg restrictions as the lower price cars driven by the typical household.

There could be something to this, although it seems like a bad idea to use climate-change policy as a vehicle for redistribution. But I think the real explanation is simpler: politicians are loath to vote for a carbon tax because it's easier for their opponents to blame them when people are forced to make lifestyle changes. (Which also explains why a cap-and-trade system is more attractive to politicians than a carbon tax.) What frightens the average voter isn't the thought that fat cats might still be able to drive around in Hummers--it's the thought that they might have to give up their own beloved vehicles for more fuel-efficient models. Now, of course, things like CAFE mandates have the practical effect of forcing them to do this. But most folks aren't quite that rational: because the effect is further removed from the vote in Congress, it's all but impossible to pin the blame on the political system--so representatives feel like they can cast a vote for the environment without forcing voters to confront trade-offs. So we wind up with policies that everyone agrees are inferior to the alternative of a carbon tax.

The blame, I'd suggest, lies primarily with opponents of a carbon tax. Presumably, the ideal outcome for carbon-tax opponents would be to have neither a carbon tax nor environmental mandates. But that isn't an option: it's clear that there's enough political support for global-warming mitigation--it just happens that the political support is for the (relatively) economically inefficient kind of global-warming mitigation. If they genuinely cared about implementing a sound climate-change policy, carbon-tax opponents at this point would relent, since the alternative is a set of policies--environmental mandates--that they claim to like even less. But, as Kevin notes, a lot of carbon-tax opponents are more concerned with pushing broader ideological agendas.

--Josh Patashnik 

Posted: Tuesday, February 12, 2008 1:14 PM with 5 comment(s)

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lymon1 said:

When did it become universally agreed that carbon taxes are better than "clunky" things like CAFE limits?  Is there really enough empirical data to make that call?  If we had kept Jimmy Carter's CAFE during the Reagan administration the whole SUV market might have gone technologically in another direction, or we may have seen hybrids MUCH sooner.  

And yeah, politically, taxes can be moved up and down on the whim of an administration (think George W. Bush wouldn't have done this post-9/11?)  Everyone loves a tax reduction, but try lowering CAFE's in this environment (the 2006 Congress just got them increased).  

February 12, 2008 1:26 PM

adaglas said:

Carbon taxes are more effective than CAFE largely because they affect ALL producers of carbon - power plants, factories, etc.  More closely aligning the economic costs of pollution with their environmental costs creates a broad market incentive to invest seriously in alternative fuels, allowing the cleanest and most economically viable ones to emerge naturally rather than through the heavy hand of subsidizing favorites.  Or at least, so goes all of the economic reports I've read about the topic.  I haven't read much to convince me otherwise, but by no means am I an expert on the topic.  That said, I think CAFE standards (and other hard limits on polluters) are necessary in the medium-term, and they're clearly more politically viable than anything that includes the "T-word" in this country.

February 12, 2008 1:50 PM

bcbaird said:

I think different methods need to be used for different problems.  With industrial output, a cap-and-trade system could work to reduce emissions.  A carbon tax would theoretically create a incentive for manufacturers to find new, more efficient ways to produce goods.

But on the personal consumption side, carbon taxes won't do much and stricter controls must be in place.  After all, you buy the slow but fuel-efficient economy box because it's all you can afford, while someone who has money to burn drives a Hummer that pollutes enough for three people.  Doesn't do much to reduce the actual output of carbon into the atmosphere - which is the whole point, right?

February 12, 2008 2:25 PM

psantillana said:

I'm for whichever is easier to enforce. Because the Clean Air Act, under the Bill Clinton administration, was flat-out ignored.

missouri.sierraclub.org/.../sierra_club_wins_clean_air_suit__ozone.htm

February 12, 2008 4:51 PM

singlespeed said:

What really needs to happen is to have both an efficiency mandate across the board plus a carbon tax-credit/penalty. If a manufacturer chooses to make an efficient car (both because of market demand and government requirements) then said manufacturer receives a credit write-off or retooling rebate to do so. The consumer receives a rebate or tax credit for buying the more efficient product. The issue of buying large-ticket items like washing machines, furnaces, A/C units, or cars is that 95% of the people buying them ook at initial cost, features, and efficiency last. Never factoring in the fact that energy costs will continue to rise and the hidden taxes that go with buying an inefficient machine - more maintenance costs, energy costs, etc. Both Federal and State governments need to do a better job of incentivizing the purchase of efficiency with tax credits, rebates and efficiency mandates, plus price penalties for inefficient purchasing and / or manufacturing and taxes on fuel that promotes inefficient activity will result in a quicker lifestyle change out of necessity since most Americans are willfully reluctant to move out of their comfort zone of conditioned supply of air without poking and prodding them with stick.

February 12, 2008 5:38 PM