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06.02.2008
Delegates

Chuck Todd just broke it down on MSNBC in an extremely helpful way. He had Obama winning four more delegates than Hillary (out of 1700!). Wow. A real split decision.

P.S. One thing to keep in mind, now that this thing has a real chance of going all the way to the convention: watch those head-to-head polls. If either Hillary or Obama looks a lot stronger against McCain as the year progresses (right now Obama looks about 4 points better, on average), those superdelegates might feel moved to follow the numbers.

--Isaac Chotiner 

Posted: Wednesday, February 06, 2008 12:50 AM with 2 comment(s)

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primwallflow said:

Prominent Dems like Gore and Edwards aren't going to be able to sit on the fence much longer. Both campaigns will make the argument that in a 50-50 race, with a presumptive nominee now on the GOP side, their voices could have been, and still could be, the tipping point that decides the race. And we're quickly moving past the point where a long, drawn-out primary strengthens either candidate. Romney's going to drop out and McCain's going to begin handing out olive branches to the GOP base. The longer the Dems duke out their primary, the more cover McCain has to bolster his conservative bonafides without feeling the General Election pressure to shift to the center.

February 6, 2008 1:15 AM

jamie322 said:

A lot of those superdelegates will be on the ballot in November, and I suspect that many of them would prefer the candidate who has driven unprecedented Democratic turnout (Obama) to the candidate who could drive higher GOP turnout (HRC).

February 6, 2008 10:44 AM