The Georgia results seem to show two things: 1) Almost all the John Edwards vote, which was primarily white, went to
Barack Obama, 2) Obama slightly increased his already
large margin among black voters over the last weeks. If you look at the Mason-Dixon
poll from early January, Obama had 36 percent of the overall Georgia vote, Clinton 33 percent, and Edwards 14 percent, with 17 percent undecided. Blacks often say
they are undecided, so it is probably a fair guess to say that more than half of
these undecided voters were African Americans. According to the
exit polls now (which are revised later), Obama will defeat Clinton by 60 to 34
percent. In other words, Clinton failed to increase her vote from
early January. That may bode ill for her in other non-Southern
states.
--John B. Judis