TNR BLOGS

July 04, 2009 | 11:58 AM
July 04, 2009 | 11:32 AM
July 04, 2009 | 8:16 AM

March 09, 2009 | 5:19 PM
March 09, 2009 | 5:16 PM
January 07, 2009 | 12:20 PM

July 01, 2009 | 10:33 PM
June 30, 2009 | 8:42 AM
June 29, 2009 | 9:09 AM

July 26, 2008 | 2:24 PM
July 23, 2008 | 1:55 PM
July 17, 2008 | 3:56 PM

July 03, 2009 | 10:13 PM
July 02, 2009 | 12:57 PM
July 01, 2009 | 7:02 PM
COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
09.01.2008
Inevitability Defeats Itself

Obama’s Iowa victory speech was beautiful. He emulated JFK's stature and MLK's powerful parallel constructions. But perhaps it was too presumptive. Unlike Hillary or Edwards, Obama didn’t acknowledge his competitors. He didn’t seem particularly excited. He didn't seem thrilled. Instead he seemed rather justified. (Someone might more uncharitably say vindicated, but I think that sounds too bitter.) Although Obama sheathed his most presumptive comments in the first person plural rather than the first person singular--using a diffusing “we” rather than a purely proprietary "I"--he still claimed presidential authority a tad too soon:

That’s how we’ll win in November, and that’s how we’ll fight the challenges we face as a nation. We’re sending a powerful message that change is coming to America... [proclaimed with quivering voice]

[Y]ears from now, when we've made the changes we believe in ... when the world sees America differently, and America sees itself as a nation less divided and more united, you'll be able to look back with pride and say that this was the moment when it all began. This was the moment when the improbable beat what Washington always said was inevitable.This was the moment when we tore down barriers that have divided us for too long; when we rallied people of all parties and ages to a common cause; when we finally gave Americans who have never participated in politics a reason to stand up and to do so.

These lines are moving, but maybe they hit the wrong note. With them, Obama posited himself as the unshakeable frontrunner the same way Hillary had posited herself before Iowa. Maybe New Hampshire tells us that voters don’t want to feel that their votes don’t count. More than they care about the actual candidates, they care that they have say in their selection.

 Update: I originally said third person when I should have said first person plural.

--Francesca Mari


Posted: Wednesday, January 09, 2008 5:16 AM with 12 comment(s)

Comments

You must be logged-in to comment.

Not a subscriber? Click here to get a digital or print and digital subscription to The New Republic!

aeromonas said:

'we' is first person pleural, not third person

January 9, 2008 1:10 AM

aeromonas said:

And if you're going to use proper checkers lingo it should be 'jump' not 'skip.'

January 9, 2008 1:12 AM

Francesca Mari said:

Sorry I deleted the checkers reference, not realizing you had already commented. For anyone who's curious, the original long and unattractive headline (due to the weird web formatting) was: "Inevitability Defeats Itself: Obama Doesn't Get to Go Skip, Skip, Skip, King Me!"* *Checkers metaphor ripped from CNN commentor

And you're totally right about jump. (But I was quoting CNN.)

January 9, 2008 1:22 AM

teplukhin2you said:

"sheathed"? At least you didn't use the latin version

January 9, 2008 1:31 AM

Crock1701 said:

Yeah, skip skip skip skip, KING ME! sounds alot more like Rudy's flailing Florida strategy than Obama's.

January 9, 2008 1:45 AM

psantillana said:

I'm listening to his NH speech right now and I'm not hearing much concession. But the race is not over, so why should he? Every speech, win or lose, is an election speech - a vote for me speech.  Because: Yes We Can!  - I really think he would have said the exact same thing had he won.  Too cocky?  Considering how nobody thought he could do this - or "we" as he puts it, for months, why should he be self-effacing and know his place or something?  

Are you guys going to whiplash the stampede around now? Is that how it works? Pfft.

January 9, 2008 3:43 AM

lymon1 said:

Credit where credit is due: Obama did acknowledge his competitors, at least Hillary -- he had his supporters give her a round of applause, which I thought was pretty classy. But I do think the speech was a lttle too much: it was almost like he was saying his election was the moral equivalent of the abolishionist movemen because...we need more bipartisanship?

January 9, 2008 6:12 AM

aeromonas said:

C'mon, folks, let's not over-analyze, shall we?   Obama's speech didn't lose him New Hampshire.

I must admit, this result caught me by surprise, too.  For weeks I've been watching BHO's poll numbers come up in the state, hoping that he could make up enough ground to knock Clinton off, and after Iowa and with the recent poll results, I thought New Hampshire was a gimme for him.  Just goes to show.

It also goes to show the limits of the prediction markets.  An HRC New Hampshire contract would have cost you 10c Thursday AM and paid off at $10.  

January 9, 2008 8:00 AM

jmurph79 said:

Wait, this post is about his Iowa speech?  Come on, that was a wildly popular speech.  Had you posted this the day after Iowa, I'd give you some credit, but after he loses in New Hampshire?  Very convenient Monday Morning Quarterbacking.

January 9, 2008 9:36 AM

marcellusw101 said:

NH is different than almost ever other primary state. New Hampshire voters hate being told what they're going to do and almost reflexively vote for the insurgent candidate. I know it sounds screwy that Hillary could be an "insurgent," but after Iowa (and going 1-on-2 against Edwards/Obama here), she certainly qualifies. Obama wasn't speaking to New Hampshire-ites because they're so different from voters in almost every other state (i.e. Concern for the economy over Iraq among registered Dems?). He was speaking to Democratic voters in SC and the Feb. 5th states - particularly the African American voters in SC and elsewhere in the South that will appreciate the tonal homage to MLK.

January 9, 2008 9:54 AM

epicciuto said:

I don't think i was only the speech. It was also the fact that everyone assumed he'd win NH, that the polls were so high, and that he clearl believed that if he won NH, he'd win the nom. The reason he's appealing is that voters don't want to be mere nothings in a system where they don't matter. That's how they must have felt in the days after Iowa.

January 9, 2008 11:04 AM

tarfon said:

I think you mean "presumptuous" (= overstepping bounds), not "presumptive" (= presumed, likely).  Also, I think you mean "positioned," not "posited."

January 9, 2008 11:29 AM