TNR BLOGS

July 04, 2009 | 6:29 PM
July 04, 2009 | 11:58 AM
July 04, 2009 | 11:32 AM

March 09, 2009 | 5:19 PM
March 09, 2009 | 5:16 PM
January 07, 2009 | 12:20 PM

July 01, 2009 | 10:33 PM
June 30, 2009 | 8:42 AM
June 29, 2009 | 9:09 AM

July 26, 2008 | 2:24 PM
July 23, 2008 | 1:55 PM
July 17, 2008 | 3:56 PM

July 03, 2009 | 10:13 PM
July 02, 2009 | 12:57 PM
July 01, 2009 | 7:02 PM
COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
16.11.2007
This Week's Sign of the Apocalypse

Oh lord. John Fund floats a trial balloon for a Lou Dobbs presidential bid:

Friends of Mr. Dobbs say he is seriously contemplating a race for the first time, although it's still unlikely. They spin a scenario under which the acerbic commentator would parachute into the race if Michael Bloomberg, the New York billionaire and favorite of East Coast elites, enters the field as an independent. With Hillary Clinton continuing to score badly in polls in the categories of honesty and integrity, and with the public's many doubts about Rudy Giuliani and other GOP contenders, Mr. Bloomberg may well see an opportunity to roil the political waters by entering the race late. If so, Mr. Dobbs then sees a niche for a "fourth-party" candidate who could paint the three other contenders as completely out of touch.

His playbook would be similar to that of Ross Perot in 1992, who didn't enter the presidential race until the major parties began holding their primaries but quickly shot up to 25% in many polls.

Similarly, Mr. Dobbs could leverage his name ID and popularity to secure a place on 50 state ballots and generate a mountain of free publicity.

The only thing that makes this scenario less depressingly plausible is the fact that a Dobbs candidacy hinges on a Bloomberg one--and I just don't see the latter happening. But does Dobbs really need Bloomberg? As Fund notes, a Dobbs presidential bid--and even the mere rumors of one--will probably do wonders for his ratings. And that's what Dobbs is after more than anything.

P.S. If Dobbs does get in the race, three words for oppo researchers: Space Dot Com.

--Jason Zengerle 

 

Posted: Friday, November 16, 2007 2:30 PM with 7 comment(s)

Comments

You must be logged-in to comment.

Not a subscriber? Click here to get a digital or print and digital subscription to The New Republic!

teplukhin2you said:

If you don't like Lou Dobbs, and I find him annoying, too, then qwitcher bitchin' and get serious about addressing the economic anxieties that our clueless political-chatterati class ignore, the concerns about security of pensions, of access to quality affordable health insurance and to decent schools for the kids.

These concerns are far more important to far more voters than Iraq is or will be next fall. Dobbs for all his blather gets this. Tweedledum and Tweedledee do not.

November 16, 2007 3:20 PM

teplukhin2you said:

The anger about illegal mexican immigration is a cover for the economic anxieties of blue-collar families with school age children, the elderly, and anyone else who's critically dependent on public services (eg public schools in blue-collar neighborhoods) that are being overwhelmed by this imported underclass.

Yuppies without kids and upper-income families with kids in private schools don't get this. Our party increasingly is the party of these groups, which is why our candidates are so clueless about the roots of this anger.

November 16, 2007 3:24 PM

butchie b said:

tep, seems to me the only Dem that even begins to address your concerns is Edwards.  I don't buy his 2 Americas, class warfare shtick, but at least he seems, far more than HRC and BHO, to get it.  I just wonder if he can take the next step and address the immigration issue head on, or will he wimp out in the face of the upper-middle class Dem majority/desire for the latino vote?

November 16, 2007 3:54 PM

teplukhin2you said:

Actually I put the q directly to him tonight at a private find-raiser in the Bay Area. He botched it (my terms), aka "stayed on message" (his terms). That message, to be repeated ad nauseam for the final 50 days til the IA caucuses, is:

Economic injustice! (no, I said the issue is economic VOLATILITY and insecurity for _working famiies_, John)

Inequality! (John, your host, the man who introduced who has a net worth that is 100x greater--yes, I found out-- than the median net worth of the 70 or so people in his house tonight. And none us cares in the slightest)

Corruption! Washington the Corporate Whore! (John, john... I didn't ask about the drug companies or Blackwell (!) or Halliburton. I asked whether you would be willing to win back WORKING FAMILIES by addressing their concerns about ECONOMIC INSECURITY with specific reference to a plan to as I put it 'help working families on both sides of the [US/Mexico] border' and 'help Mexico follow Ireland's path to success'. Instead you go on about halliburton? WTF?)

The one candidate that every working-class voter hates with a passion is...[drum roll] HILLARY!

With that last whopper-- easily refuted by nearly every poll-- Edwards lost any shot at my vote.

Oh, btw, he's physically very unimpressive: sh*tty posture that saps any gravitas he might have had. Kennedy's whippet-face without Kennedy's charm or toughness.

Oh well. Good thing I talked my way into the joint without paying the $500 entry fee.... saved myself a lot of grief and money.

November 17, 2007 12:41 AM

teplukhin2you said:

Bottom line: hard to envision this man, nice and earnest as he may be, as the leader of the free world. Sigh.

November 17, 2007 12:44 AM

ericad said:

I'm so disappointed at teplukhin2you's experience with John Edwards (not that I'm his hugest fan, Edwards, that is; I'm an Obama girl).  But I was just thinking earlier today that if only T2U had some candidate's ear, he could expound on the points that he makes in his various posts and voila! We'd have a great Democratic platform. Alas, here's a concrete example of why it isn't to be. Bummer.  But I'm glad you saved the cash too.

November 19, 2007 3:15 PM

ericad said:

I'm so disappointed at teplukhin2you's experience with John Edwards (not that I'm his hugest fan, Edwards, that is; I'm an Obama girl).  But I was just thinking earlier today that if only T2U had some candidate's ear, he could expound on the points that he makes in his various posts and voila! We'd have a great Democratic platform. Alas, here's a concrete example of why it isn't to be. Bummer.  But I'm glad you saved the cash too.

November 19, 2007 3:15 PM