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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
26.07.2008
Bush's Team of Unrivals

What is the best explanation of the moral, legal, economic, and strategic failures of the Bush Administration? Scott McClennan's What Happened offers a series of illuminating answers. While the book has received a great deal of attention, one of his principal, and most interesting, themes has been barely noticed.

As McClennan describes the Bush White House, it is the very opposite of the team of rivals described in Doris Kearns Goodwin's account of Lincoln's executive branch. McClellan describes failures, not merely of Bush and Cheney, but also and crucially of their multiple advisers, who failed to bring up objections and counterarguments. What McClellan captures is a team of unrivals--a set of conformists who repeatedly echoed the prevailing line, even when they had private doubts, or relevant information that pointed in a quite different direction.

In a sense, McClellan's account offers a much more dramatic and sustained version of Arthur Schlesinger's description of the disastrous invasion of Cuba at the Bay of Pigs in 1961. Schlesinger says that Kennedy's advisers silenced themselves, even though they had serious qualms. Indeed, Schlesinger suppressed his own doubts but did not object: "In the months after the Bay of Pigs I bitterly reproached myself for having kept so silent during those crucial discussions. ... I can only explain my failure to do more than raise a few timid questions by reporting that one's impulse to blow the whistle on this nonsense was simply undone by the circumstances of the discussion." As McClellan describes it, this form of self-silencing has been pervasive during the Bush Administration, and it has contributed to terrible errors of morality, law, economics, and strategy.

The Bay of Pigs disaster is often used as an illustration of "groupthink," above all by Irving Janis in his book that coined and elaborated that term. But the concept of groupthink is not well-specified, and McClellan's account is better described as capturing the process of group polarization, by which like-minded people entrench one another's inclinations, producing greater confidence, more firmness, more opposition to dissenting views, and greater extremism. In fact, McClellan might be understood to have produced a series of stories of group polarization in action. His book offers important lessons, not merely for those who seek to understand why and how the Bush Administration went so badly wrong, but also for those who want White House processes to work better in the future.

 --Cass R. Sunstein

Posted: Saturday, July 26, 2008 2:24 PM with 4 comment(s)

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andrew.dove said:

you may want correct the spelling of "McClennan's" name.

July 26, 2008 4:09 PM

scire said:

Isn't this stating the obvious? Didn't any half-way thinking person realize this already, even before McClellan's book came out? I think it's been obvious for a long time that Bush's administration is and always has been full of yes-men. Otherwise, how could it have been both so inept and so corrupt?

July 27, 2008 1:07 PM

sousa said:

My gosh!  Read Richard Neustadt's Presidential Power!  Sunstein is right, but Goodwin is thin gruel compared to Neustadt, who has a much more general treatment of the problem and lays responsibility where it belongs--in the hands of a president who must be his "own director of central intelligence" and must struggle to "keep choices in his hands."

July 27, 2008 8:08 PM

eynesbury said:

As the JFK presidential tapes reveal the Cuban Missile Crisis was not quite the paradigm of constructive, rational debate leading to a consensus which was strong, sensible, and did not lead to a nuclear war -- which the air-strike option of the Joint Chiefs would have done on day one. Some of that is true, in terms of reaching an Excutive Branch consensus for the Cuban Blockade. But the devastating tape of the last cabinet meeting shows that Kruschev wanted a discreet but concrete deal: Soviet missiles removed in exchange for assurances of American Jupiter missiles removed from Turkey.

On this tape you can hear everybody in the Cabinet, military and civilian advisors, totally reject such an overt missile swap. McNamara talks about strafing and invading Cuba. The only advisor to say the deal must be accepted is George Ball. Even Bobby Kennedy talks about the deal being unacceptable. But JFK accepted it. His greateness was in saying no, in resisting the group-think of men whose common sense should have acted as an antidote to the poison of anti-Communist hysteria [Joe McCarthy died in 1957 but he shadows the American Republic to this day.]. President Kennedy did what Lincoln had done [and JFK knew this story about his predecessor]  when the Civil War president achieved a consensus amongst his advisors, with one dissenting vote. The dissnter was Lincoln and the measure failed to pass.

The only significant advisor missing from that crucial meeting: Vice President Lyndon Johnson, who bought the public myth of the 'Best and the Brightest' that staring down the Russians is what caused Kruschev to capitulate in Oct '62.

"Aussies for Obama"

July 28, 2008 3:24 AM

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