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COLUMNISTS
TODAY'S STORIES
03.06.2008
Reagan vs. Bush: Lessons for Obama vs. McCain

By all accounts, one of the distinctive features of the Bush Administration has been its relative intolerance for internal dissent. High-level officials have tended to settle on a particular course of action, quite early on, and to squelch rather than to promote discussion and debate within the White House or the administration more generally. The point applies to the Iraq war, of course, but to many other issues as well, including climate change, tax cuts, energy policy, the mortgage crisis, Hurricane Katrina, and much more. The Bush Administration's relative intolerance of internal dissent has extended to issues of fact, not merely issues of policy.

In this respect, the Bush Administration has been radically different from the Reagan Administration (which in many ways it sought to follow). I was privileged to serve as a lawyer in the Office of Legal Counsel under President Reagan, and even from my (lowly) vantage point, it was easy to see disagreement, debate, and contention within the White House. President Reagan was hardly indecisive, of course, but he did not stifle internal debates. On many issues at the intersection of policy and constitutional law, deliberation among contending positions was pervasive.

In the environmental context, a prominent example involves the problem of ozone depletion. After a vigorous debate, the White House favored extremely aggressive steps to combat ozone-depleting chemicals, and hence the United States took a leading role in the Montreal Protocol, which led the way toward phasing out such chemicals all over the world. (It is instructive to compare the Reagan White House on ozone depletion with the Bush White House on climate change.)

In investigating group dynamics, people often speak of "groupthink," but the term is vague and it's not clear whether it points to a testable hypothesis. A more helpful concept is "group polarization," which predicts that like-minded people, deliberating with one another, will typically end up in a more extreme point in line with their predeliberation tendencies. For example, French people who are suspicious of the United States will, after talking to one another, become more suspicious; people who tend to be racist will, after speaking with one another, become more racist. Common consequences of deliberation among like-minded types include (a) more extremism and (b) greater confidence.

In the Bush White House, the greater extremism, and the greater confidence, that followed from internal deliberation was often a product of group polarization and fueled by discouraging dissent. Of course, the Reagan White House didn't always make the right decision. But when it did well, it was often because of an internal system of checks and balances, produced by a diversity of view, and by a receptivity to those who challenged the prevailing orthodoxy.

There's a large lesson here for Senators Obama and McCain, and for thinking about their presidencies. Presidential candidates attract sycophants and worshippers. Because of their personal histories, Obama and McCain are unusually vulnerable to both. If they are to do well, they will need to avoid the Bush model and to build on the Reagan White House at its best. The executive branch has become so large, and so able to act for good or for ill on its own, that it needs to develop an internal system of checks and balances. Such a system is a critical safeguard against the forms of group polarization that have proved so damaging under President Bush.

 --Cass Sunstein

Posted: Tuesday, June 03, 2008 1:40 PM with 9 comment(s)

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liberal reformer said:

First, I would like to thank you for your fine pieces in The New Republic. Also, I greatly enjoyed your book Why Societies Need Dissent, which I read in 2004. In fact, this title was what sprang to my mind when I saw that you contributed to the Open University. The Bushies were so convinced of their rightness and that, in conjunction with their loathing of dissent, reinforced their journey down Extremist Road. They metaphorically tried to refute Karl Popper's Open Society but it wound up refuting them. As for the sycophants, there are sure plenty of them out here in Obamaland. Even when I disagree with you, you are extremely thought-provoking.

June 3, 2008 2:22 PM

The Plank said:

( Cross-posted from Open University ) By all accounts, one of the distinctive features of the Bush Administration

June 3, 2008 3:34 PM

teplukhin2you said:

"French people who are suspicious of the United States will, after talking to one another, become more suspicious; people who tend to be racist will, after speaking with one another, become more racist."

Fellow Democrats, after speaking to one another, will become more rabidly opposed to... fellow Democrats.

June 3, 2008 4:34 PM

The Plank said:

While Cass Sunstein is right to caution against groupthink in the President's inner circle, I'd

June 3, 2008 5:23 PM

basman said:

The insight gluing the main post together is so plain and clear that it is mind boggling and tragic that it needs to be elaborated and emphasized, but clearly it does and it is well done here. I can't see either Obama or McCain needing the advice--though it couldn't hurt; I  think that they both, either of them, will encourage vital conflicting discussion and thrive on it. And the description of the intellectual dynamism inside the Reagan administration when Sunstein was there is interesting.

June 4, 2008 11:40 AM

LISAH said:

...and given the polarization of the past decade-plus, the chances for some kind of internal checks-and-balances system within the executive branch are....????

It's good to see that Obama appears to have people of varying views around him on different issues -- at least from what I can tell on those I follow.

June 5, 2008 8:33 PM

johnalthousecohen said:

Er ... does this blog still exist?

June 6, 2008 11:58 AM

s4200 said:

I have one overwhelming feeling, namely that Obama is incoherent, uncreative, and untrustworthy.

The rest does not matter.

June 9, 2008 10:40 AM

miraimike said:

I think there's a difficulty here in distinguising between groupthink and holding a united front.  There is clearly plenty of time during the policy formulation process for an appointee to get a word in but, when you hit the point where the administration is to advance support for a particular policy after said policy is already formulated, the dissenters weaken the overall credibility of the administration in addition to the policy itself.  It is at that time that appointees need to realize that they serve at the pleasure of the president.

June 10, 2008 1:08 PM

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